MA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.5% | 3.2% | 52% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 2.2% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 1.4% | 47% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +0.5% | 4.4% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 4.78 | 5.04 | +5.5% | +2.5% | +2.5% | -0.2% | +3.1% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 4.41 | 4.60 | +4.2% | -3.9% | -4.2% | -0.4% | -1.5% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 4.24 | 4.76 | +12.3% | +2.0% | +4.3% | +1.5% | -4.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 4.31 | 4.38 | +1.5% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -1.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 4.02 | 4.15 | +3.1% | +1.7% | +1.3% | -0.9% | +5.1% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 3.56 | 3.73 | +4.8% | +0.4% | -0.3% | +3.7% | +6.3% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 3.69 | 3.82 | +3.5% | +1.1% | +3.1% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 3.75 | 3.89 | +3.9% | +1.5% | -2.7% | +3.7% | +6.4% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 3.51 | 3.59 | +2.3% | +3.3% | +3.6% | -3.0% | +3.7% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 3.24 | 3.31 | +2.2% | -1.2% | -2.0% | +2.9% | +1.1% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 3.08 | 3.18 | +3.2% | +1.1% | +0.9% | +2.8% | +6.1% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 3.21 | 3.39 | +5.5% | -4.0% | -5.6% | +5.0% | +12.2% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 2.83 | 2.89 | +2.0% | +0.7% | -2.0% | -0.4% | +2.1% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 2.71 | 2.80 | +3.2% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +0.7% | +0.2% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 2.58 | 2.65 | +2.6% | +0.3% | -1.3% | -0.6% | -5.8% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 2.57 | 2.68 | +4.1% | -1.0% | +0.0% | -3.2% | +7.9% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 2.36 | 2.56 | +8.7% | +1.4% | +2.7% | +1.0% | -5.8% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 2.16 | 2.76 | +27.8% | +2.1% | +4.8% | -6.7% | -5.6% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 2.21 | 2.35 | +6.2% | +1.3% | +1.7% | +11.3% | +2.9% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 2.19 | 2.37 | +8.4% | +2.5% | -0.8% | +0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 1.75 | 1.95 | +11.6% | +1.1% | +1.4% | -4.3% | -8.5% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 1.56 | 1.74 | +11.3% | -1.0% | -1.7% | -3.5% | -7.3% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 1.52 | 1.64 | +8.2% | +3.7% | +2.8% | +5.1% | +11.9% |
| 2020-10-28 miss | 1.66 | 1.60 | -3.4% | -4.9% | -8.1% | +5.4% | +16.4% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 1.18 | 1.36 | +15.7% | -1.7% | -0.1% | +6.8% | +18.5% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 1.74 | 1.83 | +5.4% | +5.2% | +7.2% | -4.0% | +6.1% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 1.87 | 1.96 | +4.7% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +2.5% | -9.4% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 2.01 | 2.15 | +6.8% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -1.9% | +6.3% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.83 | 1.89 | +3.4% | -0.7% | -1.2% | -4.8% | +0.0% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 1.66 | 1.78 | +7.2% | +1.6% | +2.9% | -3.6% | +0.0% |
| 2019-01-31 beat | 1.52 | 1.55 | +1.9% | +2.8% | +3.5% | +1.3% | +7.2% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | 1.68 | 1.78 | +6.0% | +0.8% | -1.7% | +6.1% | +4.8% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 1.53 | 1.66 | +8.2% | -1.9% | -3.2% | -2.6% | +1.0% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | 1.24 | 1.50 | +20.6% | +3.3% | +3.1% | +2.6% | +5.1% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 1.12 | 1.14 | +1.8% | +2.1% | +2.3% | -7.1% | +3.2% |
| 2017-10-31 beat | 1.23 | 1.34 | +9.2% | +1.1% | -0.1% | +0.8% | +1.1% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 1.04 | 1.10 | +5.5% | +0.8% | -1.6% | +0.7% | +3.0% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | 0.95 | 1.01 | +6.6% | +1.3% | +1.5% | -1.4% | +4.5% |
| 2017-01-31 beat | 0.86 | 0.86 | +0.6% | -3.0% | -2.7% | +0.3% | +4.7% |
| 2016-10-28 beat | 0.98 | 1.08 | +10.2% | +1.4% | +3.2% | -3.6% | -2.9% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.90 | 0.96 | +6.5% | +1.3% | +2.4% | -0.1% | +0.5% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +1.1% | -0.4% | -1.2% | -1.0% | +0.0% |
| 2016-01-29 beat | 0.68 | 0.79 | +15.4% | -2.4% | +6.7% | -7.0% | +1.2% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +4.1% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +0.1% | -2.7% |
| 2015-07-29 miss | 0.85 | 0.85 | -0.1% | -0.8% | +1.6% | +1.6% | -2.8% |
| 2015-04-29 beat | 0.80 | 0.89 | +11.4% | +1.0% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +2.2% |
| 2015-01-30 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +2.5% | +3.3% | +0.8% | +2.6% | +10.9% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 0.78 | 0.87 | +11.6% | +3.1% | +9.4% | +3.2% | +5.2% |
| 2014-07-31 beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +4.3% | +0.5% | -2.3% | -0.1% | +2.2% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +1.6% | +2.7% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +3.8% |
| 2014-01-31 miss | 0.60 | 0.57 | -4.7% | -5.3% | -5.1% | +0.8% | +3.7% |
| 2013-10-31 beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +4.8% | +0.6% | -1.2% | +0.6% | +5.4% |
| 2013-07-31 beat | 0.63 | 0.70 | +10.2% | +3.8% | +1.5% | +5.8% | +0.3% |
| 2013-05-01 beat | 0.62 | 0.62 | +0.8% | -2.6% | -2.4% | +2.6% | +5.6% |
| 2013-01-31 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +1.1% | +3.1% | +0.5% | +0.2% | +0.6% |
| 2012-10-31 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +4.2% | -0.1% | +1.8% | +0.8% | +6.0% |
| 2012-08-01 beat | 0.56 | 0.56 | +1.3% | -2.9% | -2.1% | -0.6% | -1.5% |
| 2012-05-02 beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.4% | -2.0% | -1.0% | -6.3% | -13.2% |
| 2012-02-02 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +2.8% | +2.7% | +6.7% | +3.9% | +9.4% |
| 2011-11-02 beat | 0.48 | 0.56 | +16.9% | +8.0% | +7.0% | -0.1% | +5.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.