MAC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -0.5% | 4.8% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.6% | 4.0% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +1.4% | +0.7% | 6.6% | 53% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -1.1% | 7.8% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | -0.06 | -0.12 | -105.0% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -2.9% | -9.2% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | -0.10 | -0.16 | -58.6% | -1.4% | -3.9% | +4.5% | +9.5% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +488.0% | +1.1% | +3.2% | +4.9% | -8.3% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | -0.10 | -0.16 | -60.9% | -1.6% | -0.2% | -0.7% | +0.5% |
| 2025-08-11 miss | -0.09 | -0.12 | -29.7% | +0.4% | +4.6% | -0.3% | +4.6% |
| 2025-05-12 miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -24.5% | +3.1% | +10.4% | -4.1% | -1.8% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +528.0% | +1.7% | -8.9% | -4.0% | -6.8% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | -0.12 | -0.42 | -235.4% | +4.1% | -1.7% | +2.8% | +18.8% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | -0.09 | -0.34 | -275.1% | -0.1% | -4.3% | -8.7% | -2.4% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | -0.13 | -0.40 | -196.9% | -4.4% | -14.1% | +10.8% | +7.8% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 0.01 | 0.27 | +2636.0% | -2.9% | +2.1% | -1.1% | -4.0% |
| 2023-10-31 miss | -0.08 | -0.53 | -556.5% | +1.0% | -0.4% | +8.7% | +18.0% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | -0.08 | -0.12 | -52.9% | -2.3% | +0.2% | -4.3% | -7.9% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -0.04 | -0.29 | -625.9% | -3.9% | -3.0% | -4.5% | +3.3% |
| 2023-02-07 | — | — | — | -1.3% | -3.2% | -1.0% | -14.3% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -0.04 | -0.08 | -120.2% | -4.7% | +1.5% | +10.8% | +6.5% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | -0.06 | -0.07 | -10.8% | +0.2% | +2.7% | -4.5% | -7.4% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 0.01 | -0.20 | -2131.2% | -3.3% | -2.7% | -2.2% | -13.7% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | -0.04 | — | +106.0% | +1.1% | +2.4% | -3.6% | -14.3% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | -0.04 | -0.53 | -1406.0% | -6.6% | +1.4% | -4.9% | -16.6% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | -0.13 | -0.04 | +71.5% | -2.6% | -5.3% | +10.1% | +11.7% |
| 2021-05-10 miss | -0.16 | -0.27 | -62.0% | -5.2% | -0.4% | +2.8% | +22.6% |
| 2021-02-01 miss | -0.16 | -0.18 | -13.2% | +2.5% | -10.8% | -5.2% | -2.7% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | -0.17 | -0.15 | +14.3% | -2.4% | -2.1% | +21.3% | +64.3% |
| 2020-08-10 beat | -0.32 | -0.18 | +43.6% | +2.7% | -0.6% | -5.6% | -7.1% |
| 2020-05-11 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +36.4% | +7.3% | -2.0% | +16.1% | +42.9% |
| 2020-02-06 miss | 0.19 | 0.15 | -17.5% | +4.3% | +4.3% | -8.3% | -33.9% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.10 | 0.31 | +216.8% | +3.1% | +0.5% | +3.6% | -3.6% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.09 | 0.17 | +94.6% | +2.4% | -2.4% | -4.0% | -11.6% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.01 | 0.10 | +860.0% | +1.9% | +3.0% | -1.5% | -10.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.