MAT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 8.5% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 2.5% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.8% | 2.1% | 63% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +1.1% | 9.7% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.04 | 0.01 | -77.3% | +5.3% | -2.7% | +1.3% | -1.1% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | -0.21 | -0.20 | +4.1% | -1.5% | +1.3% | -0.5% | -1.5% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 0.55 | 0.39 | -28.8% | -28.4% | -25.0% | +10.3% | +1.6% |
| 2025-10-21 miss | 1.06 | 0.89 | -15.9% | -6.7% | -2.8% | +4.0% | +3.8% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +21.1% | -6.5% | -16.4% | +0.7% | +8.7% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | -0.10 | -0.03 | +70.4% | -1.3% | +2.8% | +18.1% | +11.3% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 0.20 | 0.35 | +73.9% | +17.7% | +15.3% | +4.2% | +0.8% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.95 | 1.14 | +20.4% | +3.7% | +4.4% | +9.7% | +0.6% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +10.8% | +2.7% | +9.8% | +1.9% | +1.5% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | -0.12 | -0.05 | +59.0% | +2.6% | +2.4% | -5.7% | -8.6% |
| 2024-02-07 miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -9.7% | +1.1% | +0.3% | +0.8% | +6.6% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.86 | 1.08 | +25.3% | -16.5% | -7.6% | +4.5% | +0.7% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | -0.03 | 0.10 | +385.9% | +1.1% | -0.4% | -3.5% | +2.9% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | -0.24 | -0.24 | -1.9% | +1.5% | +6.1% | -2.2% | -0.5% |
| 2023-02-08 miss | 0.29 | 0.18 | -37.2% | -11.4% | -10.7% | +0.6% | -11.0% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 0.74 | 0.82 | +10.6% | -8.6% | -2.7% | -6.1% | -6.4% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 0.06 | 0.18 | +182.9% | -2.8% | -7.1% | +3.3% | +4.9% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | -0.04 | 0.08 | +315.4% | -1.0% | +0.7% | +7.5% | +0.2% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 0.31 | 0.53 | +68.7% | +3.2% | +7.6% | +2.0% | -8.9% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.72 | 0.84 | +17.1% | +6.7% | +0.6% | +6.7% | +9.4% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | -0.06 | 0.03 | +153.2% | +6.2% | +4.9% | +0.7% | +1.1% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | -0.34 | -0.10 | +70.6% | +8.1% | +0.8% | +1.9% | -4.8% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | 0.24 | 0.40 | +69.7% | +0.9% | -2.1% | +3.2% | +13.6% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 0.38 | 0.95 | +147.5% | +7.2% | +9.6% | -2.8% | +9.3% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | -0.34 | -0.26 | +23.8% | +2.7% | -2.5% | -2.0% | -1.1% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | -0.41 | -0.56 | -37.2% | -6.4% | -1.4% | -5.8% | +23.7% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.02 | 0.11 | +391.9% | +0.0% | -3.1% | -11.0% | -37.6% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 0.19 | 0.26 | +36.4% | +20.7% | +13.8% | -0.2% | -2.7% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | -0.39 | -0.25 | +35.9% | +7.0% | +13.3% | -7.3% | -34.5% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | -0.55 | -0.44 | +19.4% | +8.5% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -10.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.