MCK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | -0.6% | 7.8% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.8% | 1.2% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +1.1% | 0.5% | 90% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +0.5% | 6.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 9.54 | 9.93 | +4.1% | +4.0% | -0.7% | -1.7% | +4.2% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 11.57 | 11.69 | +1.1% | -2.0% | -2.5% | +3.3% | +6.5% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 9.27 | 9.34 | +0.7% | +4.9% | +16.5% | -4.4% | -1.6% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 9.05 | 9.86 | +8.9% | -1.4% | +1.7% | -1.4% | -7.1% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 8.15 | 8.26 | +1.4% | -2.9% | -5.8% | +1.6% | +5.1% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 9.83 | 10.12 | +3.0% | +3.2% | +0.5% | +4.4% | +1.6% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 7.99 | 8.03 | +0.5% | -2.8% | -1.2% | +0.5% | +9.9% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 6.87 | 7.07 | +2.9% | +10.4% | +10.6% | +0.4% | -2.6% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 7.21 | 7.88 | +9.3% | -7.1% | -11.3% | -0.4% | -7.0% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 6.36 | 6.18 | -2.8% | +1.2% | -0.4% | +1.5% | +8.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.