MCK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.5% | 5.8% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.2% | 2.2% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 57% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.1% | 7.0% | 62% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 9.54 | 9.93 | +4.1% | +4.0% | -0.7% | -1.7% | +4.2% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 11.57 | 11.69 | +1.1% | -2.0% | -2.5% | +3.3% | +6.5% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 9.27 | 9.34 | +0.7% | +4.9% | +16.5% | -4.4% | -1.6% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 9.05 | 9.86 | +8.9% | -1.4% | +1.7% | -1.4% | -7.1% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 8.15 | 8.26 | +1.4% | -2.9% | -5.8% | +1.6% | +5.1% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 9.83 | 10.12 | +3.0% | +3.2% | +0.5% | +4.4% | +1.6% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 7.99 | 8.03 | +0.5% | -2.8% | -1.2% | +0.5% | +9.9% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 6.87 | 7.07 | +2.9% | +10.4% | +10.6% | +0.4% | -2.6% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 7.21 | 7.88 | +9.3% | -7.1% | -11.3% | -0.4% | -7.0% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 6.36 | 6.18 | -2.8% | +1.2% | -0.4% | +1.5% | +8.0% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 7.05 | 7.74 | +9.8% | -2.3% | -4.4% | +2.3% | +6.6% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 6.15 | 6.23 | +1.3% | -4.0% | -2.6% | +3.2% | +2.6% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 5.87 | 7.27 | +23.9% | +2.3% | +5.3% | -0.3% | -5.2% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 7.12 | 7.19 | +0.9% | +4.8% | +5.5% | +1.9% | +0.1% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 6.36 | 6.90 | +8.4% | +1.4% | -1.2% | -1.1% | -5.1% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 6.10 | 6.06 | -0.7% | +0.0% | +2.0% | -0.9% | -0.8% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 5.30 | 5.83 | +10.1% | +2.9% | +3.3% | +6.2% | +7.7% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 6.04 | 5.83 | -3.5% | -0.4% | +6.0% | -2.9% | -3.7% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 5.42 | 6.15 | +13.6% | +4.6% | +3.5% | +2.3% | +4.1% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 4.66 | 6.15 | +32.0% | +3.9% | +5.2% | +0.2% | +0.7% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 4.14 | 5.56 | +34.3% | -0.6% | -0.5% | -3.9% | +0.7% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 5.05 | 5.05 | +0.1% | +4.5% | +6.8% | -1.3% | -2.9% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 4.13 | 4.60 | +11.4% | +2.6% | +0.5% | +2.5% | -4.6% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | 3.88 | 4.80 | +23.7% | +2.7% | +5.2% | +14.6% | +12.0% |
| 2020-08-03 beat | 2.39 | 2.77 | +16.0% | +3.7% | +6.5% | -4.7% | -6.1% |
| 2020-05-20 beat | 4.10 | 4.27 | +4.0% | -3.1% | +1.2% | +7.2% | +7.1% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 3.49 | 3.81 | +9.2% | +2.9% | +3.7% | +10.3% | -2.8% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 3.59 | 3.60 | +0.2% | -4.7% | -8.4% | -0.8% | +5.7% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 3.01 | 3.31 | +9.8% | +4.2% | +6.7% | -5.2% | -6.7% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 3.66 | 3.69 | +0.9% | +1.1% | +4.8% | -4.1% | -1.1% |
| 2019-01-31 beat | 3.16 | 3.40 | +7.5% | -3.7% | -0.7% | +0.9% | -8.0% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 3.28 | 3.60 | +9.6% | -1.3% | +0.3% | +5.8% | -1.1% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 2.89 | 2.90 | +0.3% | -1.0% | -4.7% | -2.4% | +2.1% |
| 2018-05-24 miss | 3.57 | 3.49 | -2.1% | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.2% | +1.4% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 2.95 | 3.41 | +15.8% | -2.7% | -1.5% | -9.6% | -9.0% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 2.79 | 3.28 | +17.4% | +4.9% | -5.2% | -4.5% | +0.9% |
| 2017-07-27 miss | 2.83 | 2.46 | -13.1% | -3.8% | -2.3% | -4.4% | -9.2% |
| 2017-05-18 beat | 3.01 | 3.42 | +13.6% | +8.2% | +8.2% | +5.4% | +5.2% |
| 2017-01-25 beat | 2.91 | 3.05 | +4.9% | -6.7% | -8.3% | +0.3% | +9.3% |
| 2016-10-27 miss | 3.05 | 2.94 | -3.5% | -19.1% | -22.7% | +5.4% | +13.8% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 3.34 | 3.50 | +4.7% | -2.8% | -1.8% | +0.5% | -5.5% |
| 2016-05-04 beat | 3.03 | 3.17 | +4.8% | +4.1% | +4.7% | -3.1% | +8.4% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | 3.13 | 3.18 | +1.5% | -7.3% | -4.1% | -3.9% | -2.8% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 2.99 | 3.31 | +10.6% | +2.6% | +2.1% | -0.2% | +1.7% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 2.91 | 3.14 | +8.1% | -2.4% | -4.2% | +0.5% | -7.6% |
| 2015-05-12 beat | 2.75 | 2.94 | +7.0% | +1.5% | +1.2% | +4.1% | +1.2% |
| 2015-02-05 beat | 2.61 | 2.89 | +10.6% | +2.4% | +3.2% | +1.0% | -0.9% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 2.73 | 2.79 | +2.3% | -2.6% | -1.4% | +1.6% | +6.2% |
| 2014-07-31 beat | 2.33 | 2.49 | +6.9% | +1.0% | +0.3% | -2.8% | +1.7% |
| 2014-05-12 beat | 2.40 | 2.55 | +6.4% | +3.3% | +3.3% | -0.1% | +1.8% |
| 2014-01-30 miss | 1.83 | 1.45 | -20.8% | -0.7% | -1.6% | +0.3% | +3.7% |
| 2013-10-24 beat | 2.04 | 2.27 | +11.0% | +8.1% | +4.9% | +4.2% | +9.1% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 1.70 | 2.07 | +21.6% | +2.0% | +5.3% | -1.1% | -2.0% |
| 2013-05-07 miss | 2.30 | 1.45 | -37.1% | +3.3% | +6.9% | +0.1% | -1.9% |
| 2013-01-31 miss | 1.62 | 1.41 | -13.1% | -1.7% | -1.9% | +0.6% | +5.0% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 1.78 | 1.92 | +7.8% | +2.8% | +4.1% | +0.2% | -0.2% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 1.47 | 1.55 | +5.2% | +1.1% | -0.6% | -4.7% | -4.5% |
| 2012-04-30 beat | 2.04 | 2.09 | +2.5% | -2.9% | -1.1% | -0.7% | -3.5% |
| 2012-01-30 beat | 1.38 | 1.40 | +1.8% | +5.4% | +3.9% | +1.2% | +2.7% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 1.39 | 1.63 | +17.4% | +8.9% | +7.4% | +0.0% | -6.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.