MD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | -0.8% | 13.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.6% | 5.6% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.9% | 2.9% | 70% |
| 5-day | +3.0% | -0.9% | 15.4% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +6.6% | -10.2% | -5.9% | +5.8% | +8.7% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +16.1% | -6.3% | -7.1% | +13.7% | +7.4% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | 0.54 | 0.50 | -7.1% | -14.2% | -12.2% | +2.9% | +2.1% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.47 | 0.67 | +43.9% | +15.0% | +24.2% | +7.1% | +10.5% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.42 | 0.53 | +24.9% | +10.3% | +5.0% | +13.9% | +31.7% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.24 | 0.33 | +36.7% | +2.5% | +11.8% | -0.4% | -3.9% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.36 | 0.51 | +39.9% | +4.9% | +22.1% | -12.6% | -17.5% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +19.7% | +12.0% | +23.5% | +3.6% | -2.6% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +11.1% | +9.2% | +17.7% | +12.7% | +19.7% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +5.9% | +2.4% | -2.5% | -6.3% | -23.9% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -1.4% | -5.1% | -8.9% | +6.5% | +13.6% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.43 | 0.32 | -25.9% | -9.8% | -11.8% | -6.2% | -7.1% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -3.1% | +1.3% | +6.7% | +0.3% | -5.2% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +3.8% | -1.3% | +2.9% | -8.7% | -8.0% |
| 2023-02-17 miss | 0.49 | 0.47 | -4.2% | +3.2% | +10.9% | -5.2% | -13.1% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 0.54 | 0.40 | -26.3% | -14.1% | -18.5% | +4.8% | +3.2% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -0.5% | +0.0% | -13.5% | +8.7% | -9.9% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.27 | 0.33 | +20.9% | +0.1% | -8.9% | -8.7% | -6.0% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.43 | 0.52 | +22.0% | +1.5% | -6.1% | -0.1% | -4.3% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.41 | 0.46 | +11.6% | +0.8% | +0.8% | -2.2% | -11.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.