MD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -1.1% | 10.3% | 48% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 4.2% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 2.4% | 52% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | -0.0% | 12.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +6.6% | -10.2% | -5.9% | +5.8% | +8.7% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +16.1% | -6.3% | -7.1% | +13.7% | +7.4% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | 0.54 | 0.50 | -7.1% | -14.2% | -12.2% | +2.9% | +2.1% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.47 | 0.67 | +43.9% | +15.0% | +24.2% | +7.1% | +10.5% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.42 | 0.53 | +24.9% | +10.3% | +5.0% | +13.9% | +31.7% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.24 | 0.33 | +36.7% | +2.5% | +11.8% | -0.4% | -3.9% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.36 | 0.51 | +39.9% | +4.9% | +22.1% | -12.6% | -17.5% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +19.7% | +12.0% | +23.5% | +3.6% | -2.6% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +11.1% | +9.2% | +17.7% | +12.7% | +19.7% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +5.9% | +2.4% | -2.5% | -6.3% | -23.9% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -1.4% | -5.1% | -8.9% | +6.5% | +13.6% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.43 | 0.32 | -25.9% | -9.8% | -11.8% | -6.2% | -7.1% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -3.1% | +1.3% | +6.7% | +0.3% | -5.2% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +3.8% | -1.3% | +2.9% | -8.7% | -8.0% |
| 2023-02-17 miss | 0.49 | 0.47 | -4.2% | +3.2% | +10.9% | -5.2% | -13.1% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 0.54 | 0.40 | -26.3% | -14.1% | -18.5% | +4.8% | +3.2% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -0.5% | +0.0% | -13.5% | +8.7% | -9.9% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.27 | 0.33 | +20.9% | +0.1% | -8.9% | -8.7% | -6.0% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.43 | 0.52 | +22.0% | +1.5% | -6.1% | -0.1% | -4.3% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.41 | 0.46 | +11.6% | +0.8% | +0.8% | -2.2% | -11.3% |
| 2021-08-06 beat | 0.32 | 0.41 | +27.2% | +2.2% | +9.3% | -0.4% | -7.7% |
| 2021-05-07 beat | 0.14 | 0.24 | +76.3% | +9.3% | +20.0% | -1.8% | +1.5% |
| 2021-02-18 miss | 0.36 | 0.25 | -30.1% | -15.1% | -24.7% | +15.1% | +31.6% |
| 2020-11-06 miss | 0.40 | 0.37 | -6.5% | +16.7% | +17.5% | +16.7% | +37.2% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.12 | 0.32 | +167.1% | -1.6% | +0.7% | -0.2% | -5.3% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.54 | 0.32 | -40.7% | -10.0% | -5.3% | -0.7% | +52.3% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +1.0% | -10.7% | -21.2% | -18.8% | -55.2% |
| 2019-11-01 beat | 0.91 | 0.91 | +0.2% | +4.1% | +11.4% | +6.6% | +5.1% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.86 | 0.89 | +3.2% | +1.8% | -9.6% | -1.8% | -5.1% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.71 | 0.71 | +0.4% | -2.4% | +1.0% | +4.2% | -11.1% |
| 2019-02-07 beat | 0.91 | 0.92 | +1.4% | -4.5% | -0.9% | -1.4% | -18.0% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | 0.97 | 0.94 | -3.2% | -5.6% | -6.4% | +4.8% | +4.7% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 1.07 | 1.07 | +0.3% | -0.7% | +5.2% | +5.5% | +4.9% |
| 2018-04-30 beat | 0.86 | 0.89 | +3.0% | -2.0% | -2.3% | +0.8% | +2.2% |
| 2018-02-08 beat | 0.83 | 0.87 | +4.5% | +0.1% | +3.9% | +7.3% | +11.5% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | 0.84 | 0.87 | +3.0% | +1.3% | -5.6% | +7.5% | +22.4% |
| 2017-07-28 miss | 0.87 | 0.85 | -2.5% | -8.9% | -15.5% | -6.9% | -7.5% |
| 2017-05-04 | 0.75 | 0.75 | — | -9.7% | -7.2% | -1.3% | -2.0% |
| 2017-02-07 miss | 1.06 | 1.00 | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% | +5.1% | +6.8% |
| 2016-10-27 miss | 1.11 | 1.09 | -1.5% | -5.9% | -6.3% | -0.1% | +7.3% |
| 2016-07-28 miss | 1.07 | 1.03 | -3.6% | -5.4% | -7.2% | -4.4% | -10.3% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | 0.87 | 0.87 | -0.2% | -2.5% | -3.0% | -2.1% | -3.8% |
| 2016-02-04 beat | 1.12 | 1.13 | +1.3% | -7.6% | -4.6% | +1.8% | +3.8% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +2.7% | -4.9% | -3.4% | +3.2% | +0.2% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 0.88 | 0.90 | +1.9% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +2.5% | -0.5% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.8% | -1.6% | -2.4% | -0.6% | -0.8% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | 0.86 | 0.89 | +3.3% | +1.1% | +6.7% | +0.3% | +3.5% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +1.1% | +2.3% | +8.5% | +1.8% | +5.9% |
| 2014-07-31 beat | 0.78 | 0.79 | +1.3% | -4.0% | -1.4% | -6.2% | -3.3% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.63 | 0.63 | +0.7% | -0.4% | -1.5% | -2.0% | -2.4% |
| 2014-01-30 beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +3.9% | +0.7% | +3.3% | +0.2% | +11.6% |
| 2013-10-31 beat | 0.74 | 0.76 | +2.8% | +0.4% | +3.1% | -2.0% | +1.2% |
| 2013-07-30 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +0.7% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +0.7% | +0.8% |
| 2013-05-02 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.1% | -1.8% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +1.8% |
| 2013-01-31 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.6% | +0.6% | +0.2% | +0.0% | -0.4% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +3.5% | +0.8% | +6.4% | +3.0% | +7.7% |
| 2012-07-31 beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +2.9% | +1.1% | +2.8% | +4.3% | +4.7% |
| 2012-05-03 miss | 0.50 | 0.47 | -6.2% | -2.4% | -4.6% | -1.2% | -10.4% |
| 2012-02-02 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +0.1% | -2.9% | -2.5% | +2.8% | -0.6% |
| 2011-11-01 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +0.6% | +5.8% | +1.4% | +4.8% | +1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.