MDT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | -2.6% | 4.2% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +1.1% | 2.6% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 1.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | -1.5% | 5.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 beat | 1.39 | 1.45 | +4.5% | +3.7% | +1.5% | -0.2% | — |
| 2026-06-03 beat | 1.54 | 1.55 | +0.6% | +4.6% | +5.7% | +3.0% | +6.6% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 1.34 | 1.36 | +1.9% | -3.6% | -3.1% | +0.4% | -9.5% |
| 2025-11-18 beat | 1.31 | 1.36 | +3.5% | +3.8% | +4.7% | +4.5% | -2.3% |
| 2025-08-19 beat | 1.23 | 1.26 | +2.5% | -5.4% | -3.1% | +2.5% | +6.3% |
| 2025-05-21 beat | 1.58 | 1.62 | +2.7% | +0.3% | -2.3% | -2.4% | +1.8% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 1.36 | 1.39 | +2.2% | -5.2% | -7.3% | +5.1% | +6.7% |
| 2024-11-19 beat | 1.25 | 1.26 | +0.8% | -1.8% | -3.0% | +0.8% | -5.9% |
| 2024-08-20 beat | 1.20 | 1.23 | +2.6% | -1.0% | +0.7% | +4.0% | +4.8% |
| 2024-05-23 beat | 1.45 | 1.46 | +0.7% | -2.6% | -5.1% | +0.0% | -1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.