MDT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | +0.2% | 3.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 1.7% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 1.5% | 47% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -0.3% | 5.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 beat | 1.39 | 1.45 | +4.5% | +3.7% | +1.5% | -0.2% | — |
| 2026-06-03 beat | 1.54 | 1.55 | +0.6% | +4.6% | +5.7% | +3.0% | +6.6% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 1.34 | 1.36 | +1.9% | -3.6% | -3.1% | +0.4% | -9.5% |
| 2025-11-18 beat | 1.31 | 1.36 | +3.5% | +3.8% | +4.7% | +4.5% | -2.3% |
| 2025-08-19 beat | 1.23 | 1.26 | +2.5% | -5.4% | -3.1% | +2.5% | +6.3% |
| 2025-05-21 beat | 1.58 | 1.62 | +2.7% | +0.3% | -2.3% | -2.4% | +1.8% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 1.36 | 1.39 | +2.2% | -5.2% | -7.3% | +5.1% | +6.7% |
| 2024-11-19 beat | 1.25 | 1.26 | +0.8% | -1.8% | -3.0% | +0.8% | -5.9% |
| 2024-08-20 beat | 1.20 | 1.23 | +2.6% | -1.0% | +0.7% | +4.0% | +4.8% |
| 2024-05-23 beat | 1.45 | 1.46 | +0.7% | -2.6% | -5.1% | +0.0% | -1.2% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 1.26 | 1.30 | +3.1% | +3.0% | +1.7% | -2.3% | -2.1% |
| 2023-11-21 beat | 1.18 | 1.25 | +5.8% | +3.2% | +4.6% | +0.3% | +4.2% |
| 2023-08-22 beat | 1.11 | 1.20 | +8.2% | +1.2% | +2.6% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 2023-05-25 beat | 1.55 | 1.57 | +1.0% | -2.5% | -4.5% | +0.3% | +4.3% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 1.27 | 1.30 | +2.4% | -0.7% | +0.8% | -3.1% | -6.5% |
| 2022-11-22 beat | 1.28 | 1.30 | +1.8% | -5.2% | -5.3% | +1.4% | -1.0% |
| 2022-08-23 beat | 1.12 | 1.13 | +1.0% | +0.0% | -3.1% | -3.3% | -7.4% |
| 2022-05-26 miss | 1.56 | 1.52 | -2.8% | -6.4% | -5.8% | -4.0% | -10.3% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 1.37 | 1.37 | +0.2% | -0.1% | +3.1% | -0.1% | +2.4% |
| 2021-11-23 beat | 1.29 | 1.32 | +2.4% | -3.6% | -3.0% | -7.0% | -9.2% |
| 2021-08-24 beat | 1.32 | 1.41 | +6.7% | +0.2% | +3.2% | +0.7% | -1.5% |
| 2021-05-27 beat | 1.42 | 1.50 | +5.3% | -1.4% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -1.1% |
| 2021-02-23 beat | 1.15 | 1.29 | +12.4% | +1.5% | +1.9% | -0.1% | -1.7% |
| 2020-11-24 beat | 0.80 | 1.02 | +27.5% | +1.0% | +2.8% | -0.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-08-25 beat | 0.18 | 0.62 | +237.2% | +4.8% | +2.5% | +4.8% | -1.3% |
| 2020-05-21 miss | 0.75 | 0.58 | -22.2% | -3.0% | -2.7% | +3.3% | -2.2% |
| 2020-02-18 beat | 1.38 | 1.44 | +4.0% | -2.6% | -4.0% | -3.7% | -33.8% |
| 2019-11-19 beat | 1.28 | 1.31 | +2.1% | +1.1% | -0.2% | +0.2% | +2.2% |
| 2019-08-20 beat | 1.19 | 1.26 | +6.1% | +3.6% | +2.6% | +0.6% | +3.8% |
| 2019-05-23 beat | 1.47 | 1.54 | +5.1% | +2.6% | +3.2% | +1.0% | +8.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.