META chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.7% | +1.8% | 10.6% | 54% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 1.9% | 28% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 2.5% | 49% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +0.7% | 11.8% | 56% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 7.22 | 6.18 | -14.4% | -10.2% | -8.0% | +9.4% | +7.2% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 6.82 | 7.31 | +7.2% | -7.4% | -8.6% | +0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 8.22 | 8.88 | +8.0% | +10.3% | +10.4% | -9.2% | -11.5% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 6.67 | 7.25 | +8.7% | -11.0% | -11.3% | -7.1% | -3.8% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 5.86 | 7.14 | +21.8% | +11.5% | +11.3% | -1.5% | -4.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 5.21 | 6.43 | +23.5% | +7.8% | +4.2% | +4.5% | +17.2% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 6.74 | 8.02 | +19.0% | +3.0% | +1.6% | +3.6% | -4.7% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 5.30 | 6.03 | +13.9% | -1.1% | -4.1% | +4.2% | +4.4% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 4.76 | 5.16 | +8.4% | +9.7% | +4.8% | +2.4% | +4.7% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 4.36 | 4.71 | +8.1% | -14.6% | -10.6% | +0.1% | +8.3% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 4.94 | 5.33 | +7.9% | +16.4% | +20.3% | -1.4% | +3.2% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 3.60 | 4.39 | +22.0% | -1.5% | -3.7% | +7.8% | +16.1% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 2.91 | 2.98 | +2.5% | +8.9% | +4.4% | +0.5% | -8.4% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.98 | 2.20 | +11.2% | +14.6% | +13.9% | -2.1% | +9.8% |
| 2023-02-01 miss | 2.24 | 1.76 | -21.5% | +19.8% | +23.3% | -5.7% | -2.1% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 1.85 | 1.64 | -11.3% | -24.5% | -24.6% | -9.2% | +11.1% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 2.55 | 2.46 | -3.6% | -5.0% | -5.2% | +6.1% | +0.7% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 2.53 | 2.72 | +7.6% | +16.0% | +17.6% | +1.2% | -5.2% |
| 2022-02-02 miss | 3.83 | 3.67 | -4.1% | -24.3% | -26.4% | -4.1% | -21.2% |
| 2021-10-25 beat | 3.17 | 3.22 | +1.5% | -0.1% | -3.9% | +3.9% | +8.0% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 3.06 | 3.61 | +17.9% | -3.3% | -4.0% | +1.3% | +4.0% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 2.35 | 3.30 | +40.6% | +7.5% | +7.3% | -2.9% | -0.2% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 3.24 | 3.88 | +19.9% | +1.9% | -2.6% | +0.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 1.91 | 2.40 | +25.6% | -2.3% | -6.3% | +11.5% | +8.9% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 1.40 | 1.80 | +28.9% | +9.1% | +8.2% | +5.8% | +15.6% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 1.70 | 1.71 | +0.7% | +6.6% | +5.4% | +3.2% | +13.3% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 2.53 | 2.56 | +1.3% | -7.5% | -6.1% | +0.6% | -6.2% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 1.91 | 2.12 | +10.8% | +4.5% | +1.8% | -0.6% | +4.2% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 1.88 | 1.99 | +6.1% | +1.0% | -1.9% | -4.0% | -11.4% |
| 2019-04-24 miss | 1.61 | 0.85 | -47.3% | +7.9% | +5.8% | -0.4% | -6.3% |
| 2019-01-30 beat | 2.18 | 2.38 | +9.3% | +10.1% | +10.8% | -0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | 1.45 | 1.76 | +21.1% | +6.0% | +3.8% | -0.2% | -7.4% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 1.70 | 1.74 | +2.6% | -19.6% | -19.0% | +0.1% | -0.9% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | 1.35 | 1.69 | +24.8% | +8.5% | +9.1% | -0.1% | +6.2% |
| 2018-01-31 beat | 1.97 | 2.21 | +12.3% | +0.7% | +3.3% | -11.1% | -6.6% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | 1.28 | 1.59 | +23.9% | -1.1% | -2.0% | +0.2% | -4.2% |
| 2017-07-26 beat | 1.12 | 1.32 | +17.5% | +5.5% | +2.9% | -1.1% | -2.4% |
| 2017-05-03 beat | 1.12 | 1.36 | +21.4% | -1.1% | -0.6% | -0.5% | +1.8% |
| 2017-02-01 beat | 1.31 | 1.41 | +7.4% | +0.0% | -1.8% | +2.5% | +5.0% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | 0.71 | 0.82 | +15.4% | -4.1% | -5.6% | +0.7% | -2.1% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 0.82 | 0.97 | +18.7% | +3.4% | +1.3% | -0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2016-04-27 beat | 0.40 | 0.52 | +29.2% | +9.8% | +7.2% | +0.9% | +2.3% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | 0.42 | 0.54 | +27.6% | +13.5% | +15.5% | +1.3% | -2.0% |
| 2015-11-04 beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +13.8% | +4.7% | +4.6% | -0.7% | -2.9% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +6.2% | -2.1% | -1.8% | -0.1% | -4.4% |
| 2015-04-22 beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +10.2% | -0.6% | -2.6% | -4.4% | -2.3% |
| 2015-01-28 beat | 0.49 | 0.54 | +11.0% | +0.8% | +2.3% | -3.1% | +2.2% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +2.9% | -6.6% | -6.1% | -1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2014-07-23 beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +22.7% | +6.6% | +5.2% | -3.1% | -0.5% |
| 2014-04-23 beat | 0.17 | 0.25 | +50.5% | +3.7% | -0.8% | +0.5% | +0.8% |
| 2014-01-29 miss | 0.20 | 0.20 | -0.3% | +16.0% | +14.1% | +1.8% | +10.4% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 0.19 | 0.25 | +34.6% | -3.8% | +2.4% | -5.3% | -6.3% |
| 2013-07-24 beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +52.7% | +26.5% | +29.6% | +9.1% | +18.0% |
| 2013-05-01 miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -4.1% | +2.1% | +5.6% | -6.7% | -17.7% |
| 2013-01-30 beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +308.5% | -6.7% | -0.8% | -7.5% | -10.5% |
| 2012-10-23 miss | 0.06 | -0.02 | -134.1% | +23.7% | +19.1% | -8.8% | +12.6% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +8.8% | -13.6% | -11.7% | -11.1% | -19.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.