MGA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -2.6% | 7.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 1.9% | 65% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 35% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | -0.8% | 7.5% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 1.53 | 1.86 | +21.6% | -1.5% | -1.8% | +2.6% | -4.4% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 1.01 | 1.38 | +36.2% | -2.7% | -4.5% | +3.7% | +12.0% |
| 2026-02-13 beat | 1.80 | 2.18 | +21.0% | +9.3% | +18.9% | -7.0% | -18.6% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 1.25 | 1.33 | +6.0% | +3.0% | +5.7% | +5.6% | +4.5% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 1.15 | 1.44 | +24.8% | +3.7% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +10.0% |
| 2025-05-02 miss | 0.86 | 0.78 | -9.6% | +0.8% | -5.6% | +5.3% | +10.0% |
| 2025-02-14 beat | 1.52 | 1.69 | +11.3% | -5.5% | -4.6% | +1.3% | -2.9% |
| 2024-11-01 miss | 1.40 | 1.28 | -8.8% | +6.7% | +6.3% | +3.4% | +8.7% |
| 2024-08-02 miss | 1.45 | 1.35 | -6.6% | -1.6% | -6.0% | -4.0% | +1.3% |
| 2024-05-03 miss | 1.24 | 1.08 | -12.8% | -3.3% | -3.6% | +0.5% | -4.7% |
| 2024-02-09 miss | 1.46 | 1.33 | -9.1% | -4.6% | -6.8% | +0.5% | -2.0% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 1.32 | 1.46 | +10.5% | +9.6% | +9.1% | -1.7% | +2.2% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 1.22 | 1.50 | +23.1% | +3.5% | -3.4% | -6.0% | -3.7% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | 0.83 | 1.11 | +34.2% | +7.7% | +7.5% | -2.6% | -2.3% |
| 2023-02-10 miss | 1.08 | 0.91 | -15.8% | -9.4% | -16.2% | +4.5% | -3.1% |
| 2022-11-04 miss | 1.12 | 1.07 | -4.9% | +2.0% | +2.6% | +10.8% | +3.7% |
| 2022-07-29 miss | 0.92 | 0.83 | -10.0% | -0.2% | +0.1% | -4.1% | -7.5% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 1.10 | 1.28 | +16.3% | -1.8% | -3.5% | -0.8% | +7.7% |
| 2022-02-11 beat | 0.87 | 1.30 | +49.6% | -3.6% | -6.5% | +2.3% | -23.0% |
| 2021-11-05 miss | 0.72 | 0.56 | -22.4% | -3.0% | -0.8% | +3.9% | -2.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.