MGA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +1.4% | 5.7% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.4% | 2.0% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 38% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +0.8% | 7.2% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 1.53 | 1.86 | +21.6% | -1.5% | -1.8% | +2.6% | -4.4% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 1.01 | 1.38 | +36.2% | -2.7% | -4.5% | +3.7% | +12.0% |
| 2026-02-13 beat | 1.80 | 2.18 | +21.0% | +9.3% | +18.9% | -7.0% | -18.6% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 1.25 | 1.33 | +6.0% | +3.0% | +5.7% | +5.6% | +4.5% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 1.15 | 1.44 | +24.8% | +3.7% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +10.0% |
| 2025-05-02 miss | 0.86 | 0.78 | -9.6% | +0.8% | -5.6% | +5.3% | +10.0% |
| 2025-02-14 beat | 1.52 | 1.69 | +11.3% | -5.5% | -4.6% | +1.3% | -2.9% |
| 2024-11-01 miss | 1.40 | 1.28 | -8.8% | +6.7% | +6.3% | +3.4% | +8.7% |
| 2024-08-02 miss | 1.45 | 1.35 | -6.6% | -1.6% | -6.0% | -4.0% | +1.3% |
| 2024-05-03 miss | 1.24 | 1.08 | -12.8% | -3.3% | -3.6% | +0.5% | -4.7% |
| 2024-02-09 miss | 1.46 | 1.33 | -9.1% | -4.6% | -6.8% | +0.5% | -2.0% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 1.32 | 1.46 | +10.5% | +9.6% | +9.1% | -1.7% | +2.2% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 1.22 | 1.50 | +23.1% | +3.5% | -3.4% | -6.0% | -3.7% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | 0.83 | 1.11 | +34.2% | +7.7% | +7.5% | -2.6% | -2.3% |
| 2023-02-10 miss | 1.08 | 0.91 | -15.8% | -9.4% | -16.2% | +4.5% | -3.1% |
| 2022-11-04 miss | 1.12 | 1.07 | -4.9% | +2.0% | +2.6% | +10.8% | +3.7% |
| 2022-07-29 miss | 0.92 | 0.83 | -10.0% | -0.2% | +0.1% | -4.1% | -7.5% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 1.10 | 1.28 | +16.3% | -1.8% | -3.5% | -0.8% | +7.7% |
| 2022-02-11 beat | 0.87 | 1.30 | +49.6% | -3.6% | -6.5% | +2.3% | -23.0% |
| 2021-11-05 miss | 0.72 | 0.56 | -22.4% | -3.0% | -0.8% | +3.9% | -2.7% |
| 2021-08-06 miss | 1.41 | 1.40 | -0.6% | -2.8% | -0.9% | +2.7% | -3.9% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 1.57 | 1.86 | +18.2% | +1.5% | +2.3% | -1.3% | +4.0% |
| 2021-02-19 beat | 2.03 | 2.83 | +39.4% | +7.3% | +10.4% | +1.1% | +8.9% |
| 2020-11-06 beat | 1.37 | 1.95 | +42.4% | +2.9% | +3.7% | +3.7% | +9.6% |
| 2020-08-07 miss | -1.62 | -1.71 | -5.5% | -1.1% | +0.1% | +6.9% | -2.9% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +3.7% | +1.5% | +4.9% | -3.7% | +24.8% |
| 2020-02-21 beat | 1.32 | 1.41 | +7.2% | +2.2% | -1.8% | -11.1% | -53.0% |
| 2019-11-08 beat | 1.34 | 1.41 | +5.2% | -3.7% | -0.2% | -1.5% | -5.1% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 1.54 | 1.59 | +3.6% | -2.5% | +3.4% | -6.6% | +5.4% |
| 2019-05-09 miss | 1.70 | 1.63 | -4.0% | -5.1% | -10.0% | -6.8% | -5.0% |
| 2019-02-22 beat | 1.60 | 1.63 | +2.0% | +1.6% | +3.5% | -3.4% | -13.1% |
| 2018-11-08 beat | 1.50 | 1.56 | +4.0% | +0.0% | +4.7% | -4.1% | -13.5% |
| 2018-08-08 miss | 1.74 | 1.67 | -4.2% | -7.0% | -8.2% | -2.2% | -4.2% |
| 2018-05-10 beat | 1.70 | 1.84 | +8.4% | +1.8% | +3.8% | +4.9% | +4.6% |
| 2018-02-22 beat | 1.56 | 1.57 | +0.8% | +0.8% | +1.4% | -4.5% | -5.1% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | 1.31 | 1.36 | +3.5% | -0.5% | -0.9% | +0.9% | +5.9% |
| 2017-08-11 beat | 1.47 | 1.48 | +0.7% | -0.7% | -2.6% | +1.1% | +7.8% |
| 2017-05-11 beat | 1.34 | 1.53 | +13.8% | +3.1% | +4.4% | -0.7% | +2.5% |
| 2017-02-24 miss | 1.35 | 1.31 | -2.7% | -3.4% | -4.7% | +0.8% | +0.3% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | 1.20 | 1.29 | +7.4% | +1.7% | -1.9% | -1.0% | +8.7% |
| 2016-08-05 beat | 1.34 | 1.41 | +5.0% | +2.8% | +4.2% | +1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 1.19 | 1.22 | +2.4% | +2.5% | +1.7% | +0.5% | +1.0% |
| 2016-02-26 beat | 1.11 | 1.22 | +10.4% | +8.6% | +7.7% | +7.4% | +11.2% |
| 2015-11-05 miss | 1.09 | 0.97 | -10.7% | -9.2% | -10.4% | -5.9% | -8.1% |
| 2015-08-07 beat | 1.18 | 1.19 | +0.7% | +0.1% | -0.1% | -3.5% | -11.1% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | 1.10 | 1.12 | +1.8% | -1.5% | +4.4% | +1.9% | +4.8% |
| 2015-02-25 beat | 1.12 | 1.37 | +22.0% | +3.1% | +7.6% | -1.3% | -5.3% |
| 2014-11-05 beat | 0.99 | 1.11 | +12.5% | +5.1% | +6.1% | +1.3% | +6.9% |
| 2014-08-08 beat | 1.11 | 1.18 | +6.5% | +2.8% | +6.0% | +0.6% | +0.5% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | 0.99 | 1.00 | +0.7% | -1.2% | -0.6% | +1.8% | +9.5% |
| 2014-03-03 beat | 0.77 | 1.17 | +51.0% | +1.2% | +5.1% | +4.1% | +5.9% |
| 2013-11-06 beat | 0.67 | 0.77 | +13.8% | +2.7% | +1.4% | -1.7% | -6.5% |
| 2013-08-09 beat | 0.82 | 0.89 | +8.2% | +3.9% | +3.9% | +1.5% | +1.7% |
| 2013-05-10 beat | 0.71 | 0.79 | +10.1% | +3.5% | +3.2% | +0.8% | +5.5% |
| 2013-03-01 beat | 0.58 | 0.84 | +45.5% | -0.9% | +4.3% | +1.1% | +5.8% |
| 2012-11-08 beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +8.9% | +4.0% | -0.1% | -2.6% | +6.9% |
| 2012-08-09 beat | 0.64 | 0.74 | +15.2% | +2.3% | +4.7% | +3.1% | +3.8% |
| 2012-05-10 beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +13.0% | +5.2% | +1.9% | -6.1% | -11.9% |
| 2012-02-23 beat | 0.50 | 0.73 | +44.7% | +4.4% | +4.6% | +3.0% | +3.0% |
| 2011-11-03 miss | 0.49 | 0.37 | -25.8% | +0.3% | -1.5% | -3.7% | +4.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.