MKC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.9% | 5.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 2.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.7% | 1.4% | 70% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +2.2% | 6.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 beat | 0.70 | 0.80 | +14.8% | +4.3% | +1.6% | +10.5% | +4.7% |
| 2026-03-31 beat | 0.60 | 0.66 | +10.7% | -6.4% | -6.1% | +0.1% | +0.8% |
| 2026-01-22 miss | 0.88 | 0.86 | -1.8% | -4.9% | -8.1% | +0.2% | +13.6% |
| 2025-10-07 beat | 0.82 | 0.85 | +4.2% | -1.2% | -3.9% | +0.3% | -1.6% |
| 2025-06-26 beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +5.7% | +4.6% | +5.3% | -3.1% | -7.7% |
| 2025-03-25 miss | 0.64 | 0.60 | -6.8% | -5.2% | -0.1% | +2.5% | -6.5% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +4.3% | -1.0% | +2.1% | +4.0% | +8.6% |
| 2024-10-01 beat | 0.67 | 0.83 | +23.2% | +1.2% | +2.2% | -5.3% | -7.3% |
| 2024-06-27 beat | 0.59 | 0.69 | +17.3% | +5.9% | +4.3% | +0.4% | +7.8% |
| 2024-03-26 beat | 0.57 | 0.63 | +9.9% | +7.0% | +10.5% | -1.4% | -2.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.