MKC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 4.5% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 1.6% | 48% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.5% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +0.6% | 6.1% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 beat | 0.70 | 0.80 | +14.8% | +4.3% | +1.6% | +10.5% | +4.7% |
| 2026-03-31 beat | 0.60 | 0.66 | +10.7% | -6.4% | -6.1% | +0.1% | +0.8% |
| 2026-01-22 miss | 0.88 | 0.86 | -1.8% | -4.9% | -8.1% | +0.2% | +13.6% |
| 2025-10-07 beat | 0.82 | 0.85 | +4.2% | -1.2% | -3.9% | +0.3% | -1.6% |
| 2025-06-26 beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +5.7% | +4.6% | +5.3% | -3.1% | -7.7% |
| 2025-03-25 miss | 0.64 | 0.60 | -6.8% | -5.2% | -0.1% | +2.5% | -6.5% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +4.3% | -1.0% | +2.1% | +4.0% | +8.6% |
| 2024-10-01 beat | 0.67 | 0.83 | +23.2% | +1.2% | +2.2% | -5.3% | -7.3% |
| 2024-06-27 beat | 0.59 | 0.69 | +17.3% | +5.9% | +4.3% | +0.4% | +7.8% |
| 2024-03-26 beat | 0.57 | 0.63 | +9.9% | +7.0% | +10.5% | -1.4% | -2.3% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.79 | 0.85 | +7.1% | +1.1% | +4.3% | +0.1% | -1.0% |
| 2023-10-03 miss | 0.65 | 0.65 | -0.5% | -5.9% | -8.5% | -7.6% | -6.3% |
| 2023-06-29 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +4.8% | -1.1% | -5.5% | -2.4% | +3.1% |
| 2023-03-28 beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +17.9% | +6.7% | +9.6% | +4.9% | +7.7% |
| 2023-01-26 miss | 0.87 | 0.73 | -15.7% | -6.4% | -5.8% | +2.1% | +2.1% |
| 2022-10-06 beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +6.3% | +1.1% | -1.2% | +3.4% | +9.1% |
| 2022-06-29 miss | 0.65 | 0.48 | -26.1% | -1.5% | -1.4% | -3.4% | +2.0% |
| 2022-03-29 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +1.9% | +1.6% | -0.7% | +6.1% | +7.0% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +5.0% | +5.3% | +6.8% | +4.8% | -3.1% |
| 2021-09-30 beat | 0.72 | 0.80 | +10.9% | -3.2% | -3.2% | -0.7% | -1.0% |
| 2021-07-01 beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +10.4% | -0.9% | -0.4% | -1.0% | -4.4% |
| 2021-03-30 beat | 0.58 | 0.72 | +23.1% | +6.3% | -0.3% | -0.8% | +0.8% |
| 2021-01-28 miss | 0.82 | 0.79 | -3.8% | -3.3% | -3.2% | -2.4% | -7.1% |
| 2020-09-29 beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +0.5% | -1.2% | -2.7% | +0.9% | -2.2% |
| 2020-06-25 beat | 0.58 | 0.74 | +27.1% | +1.2% | +3.6% | +1.7% | +9.8% |
| 2020-03-31 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +4.6% | -2.3% | -1.4% | +6.4% | +11.1% |
| 2020-01-28 miss | 0.81 | 0.81 | -0.2% | -4.9% | -3.9% | -3.2% | -9.5% |
| 2019-10-01 beat | 0.64 | 0.73 | +13.3% | +1.6% | +6.8% | -0.2% | -2.3% |
| 2019-06-27 beat | 0.54 | 0.58 | +7.6% | -3.1% | +3.5% | +3.6% | +4.2% |
| 2019-03-26 beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +7.7% | +0.7% | +1.0% | +3.9% | +3.9% |
| 2019-01-24 miss | 0.85 | 0.84 | -2.0% | -13.5% | -10.5% | -0.6% | +7.3% |
| 2018-09-27 beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.6% | -4.1% | -1.2% | +5.8% | +7.9% |
| 2018-06-28 beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +9.9% | +3.1% | +8.4% | +4.0% | +1.6% |
| 2018-03-27 beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +10.2% | +2.9% | +0.4% | -2.2% | -0.5% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +1.6% | +3.6% | +5.0% | +2.3% | +2.2% |
| 2017-09-28 beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +7.2% | +2.7% | +5.4% | -3.3% | -2.3% |
| 2017-06-29 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.5% | -0.9% | -3.6% | +0.4% | -0.1% |
| 2017-03-28 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +2.9% | -1.3% | -2.9% | +0.0% | +1.6% |
| 2017-01-25 miss | 0.64 | 0.64 | -0.5% | -0.2% | +1.9% | -1.3% | +3.7% |
| 2016-09-30 beat | 0.47 | 0.52 | +9.1% | +2.7% | +2.6% | -4.4% | -4.1% |
| 2016-06-30 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.1% | -1.3% | +3.9% | +0.3% | -4.2% |
| 2016-03-29 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +7.9% | +1.6% | +2.3% | -0.5% | -6.6% |
| 2016-01-28 beat | 0.59 | 0.59 | +0.6% | +0.7% | +3.9% | +0.5% | +9.2% |
| 2015-10-01 miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -1.9% | -2.7% | -4.3% | +5.2% | +6.7% |
| 2015-07-01 beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +10.2% | -3.4% | -1.7% | -0.2% | +3.1% |
| 2015-03-24 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.5% | +3.2% | +2.6% | +2.6% | +1.5% |
| 2015-01-28 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.1% | -2.9% | -1.5% | +2.5% | +4.9% |
| 2014-10-02 beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +17.2% | +3.6% | +2.9% | +0.3% | +4.8% |
| 2014-06-26 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.1% | -1.2% | -1.3% | +1.1% | -2.2% |
| 2014-03-25 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +7.2% | +4.1% | +5.5% | +0.6% | +0.1% |
| 2014-01-29 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +0.8% | -4.2% | -6.2% | -2.8% | +1.7% |
| 2013-09-26 miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.6% | -2.4% | -2.2% | -3.7% | +3.9% |
| 2013-06-27 miss | 0.30 | 0.30 | -2.8% | -1.4% | -2.0% | -1.3% | +1.8% |
| 2013-04-02 beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +0.5% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -2.4% | -1.1% |
| 2013-01-24 miss | 0.57 | 0.56 | -2.7% | -5.5% | -6.3% | +0.0% | +4.9% |
| 2012-09-27 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.9% | -1.7% | -1.8% | +1.6% | -0.4% |
| 2012-06-27 miss | 0.30 | 0.30 | -1.1% | -0.1% | +2.9% | +4.4% | +3.7% |
| 2012-03-27 beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +3.9% | +0.9% | +2.3% | +1.2% | +2.5% |
| 2012-01-26 beat | 0.49 | 0.49 | +0.4% | -2.6% | -1.5% | +0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2011-09-28 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +5.7% | +0.3% | -3.0% | -0.6% | +7.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.