MKTX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +0.3% | 10.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 2.4% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +1.2% | 1.8% | 70% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | -2.0% | 11.6% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.86 | 1.95 | +5.0% | +29.8% | +29.5% | -0.1% | +0.0% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 2.15 | 2.25 | +4.4% | +2.6% | +2.6% | -8.0% | -23.9% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 1.64 | 1.68 | +2.4% | -0.2% | -0.3% | +10.5% | +12.2% |
| 2025-11-07 beat | 1.70 | 1.84 | +8.1% | +1.6% | +0.9% | +4.6% | +3.5% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.96 | 2.00 | +1.8% | -3.3% | -10.1% | +1.2% | +0.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.81 | 1.87 | +3.2% | -4.8% | -0.3% | -7.6% | -2.6% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.69 | 1.73 | +2.5% | +5.5% | +1.6% | -4.9% | +5.6% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 1.85 | 1.90 | +2.6% | +1.8% | -1.5% | -2.8% | -12.7% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 1.68 | 1.72 | +2.2% | +4.9% | +5.2% | +2.8% | +10.0% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 1.88 | 1.92 | +2.1% | +1.4% | -2.4% | +1.8% | +2.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.