MKTX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -0.6% | 6.4% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.4% | 2.2% | 58% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.0% | 1.6% | 48% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | -0.4% | 7.6% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.86 | 1.95 | +5.0% | +29.8% | +29.5% | -0.1% | +0.0% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 2.15 | 2.25 | +4.4% | +2.6% | +2.6% | -8.0% | -23.9% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 1.64 | 1.68 | +2.4% | -0.2% | -0.3% | +10.5% | +12.2% |
| 2025-11-07 beat | 1.70 | 1.84 | +8.1% | +1.6% | +0.9% | +4.6% | +3.5% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.96 | 2.00 | +1.8% | -3.3% | -10.1% | +1.2% | +0.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.81 | 1.87 | +3.2% | -4.8% | -0.3% | -7.6% | -2.6% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.69 | 1.73 | +2.5% | +5.5% | +1.6% | -4.9% | +5.6% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 1.85 | 1.90 | +2.6% | +1.8% | -1.5% | -2.8% | -12.7% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 1.68 | 1.72 | +2.2% | +4.9% | +5.2% | +2.8% | +10.0% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 1.88 | 1.92 | +2.1% | +1.4% | -2.4% | +1.8% | +2.5% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 1.72 | 1.84 | +7.1% | +2.4% | -17.8% | +0.4% | -3.3% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | 1.47 | 1.46 | -0.4% | -2.4% | -9.3% | +1.5% | +8.1% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 1.56 | 1.59 | +2.0% | -0.1% | +2.2% | +1.0% | -7.0% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.90 | 1.96 | +3.0% | +2.9% | -1.7% | -3.9% | -11.6% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 1.57 | 1.58 | +0.5% | -0.7% | +10.2% | +3.8% | -4.6% |
| 2022-10-19 beat | 1.51 | 1.58 | +5.0% | -0.9% | -3.2% | +2.1% | +9.9% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 1.70 | 1.78 | +4.7% | -3.0% | -2.7% | -3.4% | +1.9% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 1.70 | 1.71 | +0.7% | -1.0% | +3.9% | -4.6% | -2.2% |
| 2022-01-26 miss | 1.43 | 1.37 | -4.0% | +6.0% | -5.5% | +3.5% | +14.0% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 1.44 | 1.52 | +5.6% | +2.5% | -1.3% | -0.5% | -9.6% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 1.69 | 1.77 | +4.6% | +1.6% | -1.0% | +3.3% | +3.6% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 2.14 | 2.17 | +1.4% | -4.4% | -3.9% | -1.4% | -9.3% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 1.83 | 1.97 | +7.5% | +0.0% | +4.8% | +5.5% | +4.0% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 1.76 | 1.78 | +1.2% | -0.4% | +4.7% | -5.8% | -10.2% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 2.04 | 2.20 | +8.0% | -4.4% | -1.2% | -1.8% | -4.9% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 1.86 | 1.96 | +5.4% | -0.1% | +3.5% | +3.2% | +11.4% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 1.30 | 1.33 | +2.4% | +0.6% | -2.2% | -2.9% | -7.9% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 1.38 | 1.42 | +2.9% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +5.0% | +15.1% |
| 2019-07-24 miss | 1.32 | 1.27 | -3.6% | -3.5% | -9.1% | +0.8% | +17.5% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 1.38 | 1.39 | +0.5% | +0.3% | +0.7% | +6.7% | +10.3% |
| 2019-01-30 beat | 1.16 | 1.26 | +8.3% | -0.7% | -1.5% | +4.1% | +15.6% |
| 2018-10-24 beat | 0.94 | 1.06 | +12.8% | +3.6% | +8.3% | +0.4% | +2.2% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 1.05 | 1.10 | +4.8% | -4.6% | -3.2% | -4.6% | -6.8% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | 1.22 | 1.30 | +6.3% | +0.3% | -0.8% | +1.4% | +6.3% |
| 2018-01-31 beat | 0.88 | 1.19 | +35.8% | +2.1% | +2.3% | -0.6% | +3.4% |
| 2017-10-25 | 0.90 | 0.90 | — | -4.0% | -5.5% | -2.2% | +4.9% |
| 2017-07-26 beat | 0.92 | 1.00 | +8.7% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +0.2% | -7.1% |
| 2017-04-26 beat | 0.96 | 1.11 | +15.6% | +1.8% | +5.4% | -4.0% | +0.5% |
| 2017-01-25 beat | 0.84 | 0.88 | +4.5% | +7.8% | +11.1% | +6.9% | +11.5% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 0.77 | 0.82 | +5.9% | -0.1% | +0.6% | -3.6% | +10.8% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +4.1% | -0.7% | +3.9% | +1.7% | +4.0% |
| 2016-04-27 miss | 0.79 | 0.77 | -2.1% | -2.0% | -2.9% | -2.4% | +10.4% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.2% | +0.5% | +3.7% | +5.1% | +10.7% |
| 2015-10-21 miss | 0.62 | 0.60 | -3.2% | -0.6% | -9.6% | +15.4% | +19.1% |
| 2015-07-22 beat | 0.63 | 0.64 | +1.2% | -1.0% | -2.3% | +0.2% | -1.4% |
| 2015-04-22 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.5% | -0.5% | -1.5% | +0.5% | -0.7% |
| 2015-01-28 beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +12.5% | +2.6% | -1.2% | +6.4% | +8.6% |
| 2014-10-22 miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -3.5% | -1.7% | -6.8% | +4.6% | +4.6% |
| 2014-07-23 beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +7.5% | +1.9% | +7.0% | +5.6% | +7.1% |
| 2014-04-23 beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +1.4% | -0.2% | -2.9% | -2.2% | -0.5% |
| 2014-01-29 miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -1.6% | -1.1% | -2.1% | +2.0% | -2.0% |
| 2013-10-23 beat | 0.43 | 0.48 | +12.6% | +0.8% | -0.3% | +1.1% | +8.6% |
| 2013-07-24 beat | 0.45 | 0.51 | +12.8% | +1.2% | +2.1% | -4.3% | -2.0% |
| 2013-04-24 beat | 0.37 | 0.43 | +15.7% | +1.8% | +3.7% | +1.5% | +6.2% |
| 2013-01-30 beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +0.6% | +0.2% | -0.9% | +0.7% | +3.7% |
| 2012-11-02 beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +11.8% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -2.6% | -1.3% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +5.4% | +1.4% | +6.1% | -1.2% | +4.4% |
| 2012-04-25 miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -2.8% | +0.6% | -1.8% | -4.8% | -10.1% |
| 2012-02-01 beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +5.1% | +1.4% | +7.4% | -2.9% | +2.8% |
| 2011-10-26 beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +18.3% | +3.2% | +3.8% | +4.9% | -4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.