MLM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | +0.2% | 3.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.4% | 1.8% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.6% | 2.1% | 30% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -0.2% | 4.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 4.64 | 5.00 | +7.6% | -1.1% | -5.2% | -0.3% | -1.7% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.84 | 1.93 | +5.0% | -0.7% | +1.0% | -3.0% | -7.8% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 4.98 | 4.62 | -7.2% | -4.0% | -6.6% | +2.1% | -11.8% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 6.68 | 6.85 | +2.5% | +2.0% | +1.0% | -0.8% | -1.0% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 5.26 | 5.43 | +3.2% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +2.0% | +4.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 1.88 | 1.90 | +1.1% | -1.7% | +3.8% | +2.0% | +4.5% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 4.56 | 4.81 | +5.5% | -5.2% | -2.2% | -2.1% | -7.7% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 6.30 | 5.95 | -5.5% | -0.2% | +3.6% | +2.1% | -0.8% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | 5.33 | 5.27 | -1.1% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -6.1% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 1.86 | 1.77 | -4.5% | -0.4% | -2.6% | +2.0% | -3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.