MLM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +1.0% | 3.9% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 2.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 45% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +0.6% | 5.1% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 4.64 | 5.00 | +7.6% | -1.1% | -5.2% | -0.3% | -1.7% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.84 | 1.93 | +5.0% | -0.7% | +1.0% | -3.0% | -7.8% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 4.98 | 4.62 | -7.2% | -4.0% | -6.6% | +2.1% | -11.8% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 6.68 | 6.85 | +2.5% | +2.0% | +1.0% | -0.8% | -1.0% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 5.26 | 5.43 | +3.2% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +2.0% | +4.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 1.88 | 1.90 | +1.1% | -1.7% | +3.8% | +2.0% | +4.5% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 4.56 | 4.81 | +5.5% | -5.2% | -2.2% | -2.1% | -7.7% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 6.30 | 5.95 | -5.5% | -0.2% | +3.6% | +2.1% | -0.8% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | 5.33 | 5.27 | -1.1% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -6.1% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 1.86 | 1.77 | -4.5% | -0.4% | -2.6% | +2.0% | -3.4% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 3.95 | 4.74 | +19.9% | +1.6% | +2.3% | +1.6% | +10.5% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 6.07 | 6.98 | +15.0% | +2.0% | +7.4% | +2.9% | +6.4% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 4.86 | 5.60 | +15.3% | +0.3% | -2.9% | +1.9% | -1.7% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 1.02 | 1.96 | +92.2% | +8.5% | +5.6% | +2.9% | +7.1% |
| 2023-02-15 miss | 3.04 | 3.04 | -0.1% | +3.7% | +7.5% | -5.2% | -16.2% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 4.63 | 4.69 | +1.3% | -0.3% | -3.4% | +4.2% | +13.3% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 3.76 | 3.96 | +5.4% | -0.7% | +2.2% | +4.8% | +2.4% |
| 2022-05-03 miss | 0.61 | 0.41 | -33.2% | -1.3% | +3.1% | -10.5% | -5.2% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 2.93 | 3.15 | +7.4% | -2.3% | +1.0% | -0.5% | -2.9% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 4.26 | 4.25 | -0.3% | -0.5% | +4.4% | +3.6% | +1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.