MMC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +1.0% | 2.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 1.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.1% | 52% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +0.7% | 3.5% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 beat | 1.78 | 1.85 | +4.1% | -4.9% | -8.5% | +0.9% | -2.0% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 2.41 | 2.45 | +1.6% | +1.4% | -0.4% | -1.3% | -1.8% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 3.00 | 3.06 | +2.1% | -5.4% | -4.9% | -0.4% | +5.3% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 1.76 | 1.87 | +6.0% | +1.9% | +0.7% | +2.3% | +8.4% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 1.62 | 1.63 | +0.8% | +0.9% | -0.4% | -2.0% | -2.1% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 2.39 | 2.41 | +0.7% | -1.3% | -1.5% | -0.6% | +2.1% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 2.80 | 2.89 | +3.3% | +4.2% | +2.1% | -0.1% | +4.1% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 1.63 | 1.68 | +3.4% | -3.6% | -3.8% | +1.4% | +6.5% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 1.39 | 1.57 | +12.9% | +1.1% | +0.7% | -2.0% | +3.6% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 2.12 | 2.20 | +4.0% | -0.6% | +1.0% | +0.2% | -0.2% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 2.47 | 2.53 | +2.3% | +0.8% | +3.5% | -0.1% | +0.5% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 1.41 | 1.47 | +4.5% | -0.5% | +1.4% | -0.2% | -7.6% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 1.14 | 1.18 | +3.2% | +1.3% | -1.5% | +0.4% | +8.4% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 1.86 | 1.89 | +1.5% | +1.2% | +3.0% | +2.3% | +8.6% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 2.14 | 2.30 | +7.4% | +1.3% | +2.5% | -3.9% | -16.1% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 1.35 | 1.36 | +0.5% | -3.2% | -4.3% | +3.2% | +5.5% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 1.00 | 1.08 | +8.2% | +0.6% | +1.6% | -0.6% | +0.5% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 1.43 | 1.75 | +22.7% | +0.7% | +2.5% | +0.6% | +6.3% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 1.71 | 1.99 | +16.2% | +1.7% | +3.9% | +2.2% | +3.2% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 1.12 | 1.19 | +5.9% | +0.9% | +1.1% | +2.6% | +7.9% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.72 | 0.82 | +13.2% | -0.2% | -4.3% | +5.3% | +11.4% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 1.13 | 1.32 | +16.4% | -1.2% | +1.0% | +1.8% | -2.3% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 1.56 | 1.64 | +5.0% | -1.0% | +2.9% | +4.4% | +9.6% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 1.18 | 1.19 | +0.7% | -2.0% | -1.2% | +1.6% | -5.8% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 0.70 | 0.77 | +9.8% | +0.5% | +4.3% | -0.4% | +6.1% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.13 | 1.18 | +4.5% | -1.4% | -2.6% | -2.8% | -2.7% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 1.44 | 1.52 | +5.3% | -1.1% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +1.6% |
| 2019-01-31 beat | 1.04 | 1.09 | +4.3% | +3.3% | +5.3% | +1.5% | +5.0% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +4.8% | +2.0% | +5.9% | +3.5% | +5.1% |
| 2018-07-26 miss | 1.11 | 1.10 | -0.9% | -0.4% | -2.4% | -3.1% | -1.5% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 1.30 | 1.38 | +5.9% | +0.5% | +0.1% | -2.5% | -1.6% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 0.94 | 1.05 | +11.3% | +0.1% | +1.8% | -6.7% | -2.0% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.78 | 0.79 | +1.1% | -1.0% | -3.7% | +2.8% | +1.4% |
| 2017-07-27 miss | 1.00 | 1.00 | -0.2% | -1.1% | -3.5% | +1.3% | -0.6% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.98 | 1.08 | +10.2% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +0.2% | +2.9% |
| 2017-02-02 beat | 0.83 | 0.89 | +6.7% | +0.5% | +3.2% | +1.5% | +6.1% |
| 2016-10-25 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +1.4% | -1.2% | -3.5% | +0.3% | +10.8% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +0.7% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -0.4% | +1.0% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.0% | -3.5% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +5.0% |
| 2016-02-04 beat | 0.71 | 0.71 | +0.6% | +0.9% | +2.5% | +1.4% | +6.5% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +5.5% | -1.8% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +0.0% |
| 2015-07-28 beat | 0.80 | 0.80 | +0.5% | -0.4% | -1.2% | +0.9% | -7.0% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +6.0% | -0.2% | -1.3% | +1.8% | +3.6% |
| 2015-02-06 beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.2% | -0.9% | -0.7% | +1.6% | +0.4% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +7.2% | +0.9% | +2.3% | +4.2% | +6.7% |
| 2014-07-29 beat | 0.75 | 0.79 | +6.0% | +2.6% | +1.7% | -3.2% | +1.1% |
| 2014-05-02 beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +0.8% | +0.5% | -1.4% | +1.0% | +4.2% |
| 2014-02-11 beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.6% | -0.2% | +1.8% | +1.8% | +5.6% |
| 2013-11-06 beat | 0.46 | 0.46 | +0.1% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +0.5% | +4.1% |
| 2013-08-07 beat | 0.67 | 0.72 | +7.3% | +0.0% | -0.8% | +1.1% | -0.9% |
| 2013-05-02 beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +5.0% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +2.2% | +4.7% |
| 2013-02-12 miss | 0.52 | 0.52 | -0.7% | -1.6% | -0.9% | +0.2% | +2.9% |
| 2012-11-06 beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.6% | -0.1% | +2.0% | -2.3% | +0.5% |
| 2012-08-07 beat | 0.58 | 0.60 | +2.8% | +1.0% | +2.2% | -0.6% | +0.7% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +3.0% | +0.1% | +2.7% | -1.0% | -6.9% |
| 2012-02-14 beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +1.3% | -0.7% | -1.1% | -0.4% | +4.5% |
| 2011-11-02 miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -5.3% | +4.3% | +4.0% | -2.5% | -1.9% |
| 2011-08-03 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +3.5% | +0.3% | +3.4% | -8.9% | -0.6% |
| 2011-05-04 beat | 0.56 | 0.56 | +0.7% | +0.1% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -0.3% |
| 2011-02-15 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +4.2% | +3.0% | +4.7% | -1.6% | -3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.