MMM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.0% | +4.5% | 8.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 1.5% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 1.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +4.6% | +5.6% | 9.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 2.25 | 2.40 | +6.8% | +6.3% | +7.3% | +6.9% | +5.8% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 1.98 | 2.14 | +7.9% | +0.2% | -1.9% | -1.6% | +0.9% |
| 2026-01-20 beat | 1.80 | 1.83 | +1.8% | -5.0% | -7.0% | +1.2% | +5.7% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 2.07 | 2.19 | +5.6% | +2.1% | +7.7% | +0.1% | +0.0% |
| 2025-07-18 beat | 2.01 | 2.16 | +7.4% | +2.2% | -3.7% | -1.3% | -0.2% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 1.77 | 1.88 | +6.4% | +5.7% | +8.1% | +1.5% | +9.6% |
| 2025-01-21 beat | 1.54 | 1.68 | +9.3% | +3.2% | +4.2% | +3.1% | +1.5% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.90 | 1.98 | +4.1% | +4.0% | -2.3% | -1.9% | -3.0% |
| 2024-07-26 beat | 1.68 | 1.93 | +14.9% | +9.0% | +23.0% | -1.5% | +3.7% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 2.11 | 2.39 | +13.2% | +3.9% | +4.7% | -1.0% | +1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.