MMM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 5.3% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 1.7% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 1.5% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | -0.2% | 6.3% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 2.25 | 2.40 | +6.8% | +6.3% | +7.3% | +6.9% | +5.8% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 1.98 | 2.14 | +7.9% | +0.2% | -1.9% | -1.6% | +0.9% |
| 2026-01-20 beat | 1.80 | 1.83 | +1.8% | -5.0% | -7.0% | +1.2% | +5.7% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 2.07 | 2.19 | +5.6% | +2.1% | +7.7% | +0.1% | +0.0% |
| 2025-07-18 beat | 2.01 | 2.16 | +7.4% | +2.2% | -3.7% | -1.3% | -0.2% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 1.77 | 1.88 | +6.4% | +5.7% | +8.1% | +1.5% | +9.6% |
| 2025-01-21 beat | 1.54 | 1.68 | +9.3% | +3.2% | +4.2% | +3.1% | +1.5% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.90 | 1.98 | +4.1% | +4.0% | -2.3% | -1.9% | -3.0% |
| 2024-07-26 beat | 1.68 | 1.93 | +14.9% | +9.0% | +23.0% | -1.5% | +3.7% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 2.11 | 2.39 | +13.2% | +3.9% | +4.7% | -1.0% | +1.8% |
| 2024-01-23 beat | 2.31 | 2.42 | +4.6% | -6.6% | -11.0% | -0.4% | -4.0% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 2.35 | 2.68 | +14.2% | +5.3% | +5.3% | +0.9% | +5.8% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 1.76 | 2.17 | +23.3% | +3.1% | +5.3% | +0.7% | -9.3% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.60 | 1.97 | +23.4% | +0.6% | -0.7% | -1.3% | -7.1% |
| 2023-01-24 miss | 2.37 | 2.28 | -3.8% | -5.4% | -6.2% | +0.1% | -5.3% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 2.59 | 2.69 | +3.8% | -4.1% | +0.1% | +5.7% | +8.0% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 2.44 | 2.48 | +1.6% | +7.0% | +4.9% | +0.7% | +0.2% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 2.32 | 2.65 | +14.4% | +0.4% | +0.0% | +6.9% | +2.0% |
| 2022-01-25 beat | 2.02 | 2.31 | +14.6% | +0.4% | +0.5% | -3.6% | -17.3% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 2.21 | 2.45 | +10.9% | -0.7% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.5% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 2.28 | 2.59 | +13.8% | -2.2% | -0.6% | +0.3% | -3.1% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 2.29 | 2.77 | +20.8% | -4.1% | -2.6% | +2.5% | +3.7% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | 2.17 | 2.38 | +9.8% | +2.0% | +3.3% | -0.5% | +1.6% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 2.27 | 2.43 | +7.2% | -1.0% | -3.1% | +2.8% | +10.0% |
| 2020-07-28 miss | 1.80 | 1.78 | -1.1% | -4.8% | -4.8% | -2.7% | +5.5% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 2.01 | 2.16 | +7.3% | +4.2% | +2.6% | -6.5% | -0.5% |
| 2020-01-28 miss | 2.10 | 1.95 | -7.2% | -2.1% | -5.7% | -5.0% | -9.3% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 2.50 | 2.58 | +3.3% | -2.1% | -4.1% | +1.9% | +3.5% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 2.07 | 2.13 | +2.8% | +4.2% | -0.7% | -2.7% | -12.5% |
| 2019-04-25 miss | 2.50 | 2.23 | -10.8% | -9.8% | -12.9% | -3.1% | -12.9% |
| 2019-01-29 beat | 2.28 | 2.31 | +1.5% | +0.9% | +1.9% | +2.1% | +5.3% |
| 2018-10-23 miss | 2.70 | 2.58 | -4.5% | -6.2% | -4.4% | -1.4% | +3.2% |
| 2018-07-24 miss | 2.60 | 2.59 | -0.5% | -3.0% | +0.9% | +5.8% | +1.8% |
| 2018-04-24 beat | 2.48 | 2.50 | +0.6% | -4.3% | -6.8% | -3.0% | -1.2% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 2.03 | 2.10 | +3.4% | +0.9% | +1.9% | -1.8% | -3.3% |
| 2017-10-24 beat | 2.21 | 2.33 | +5.4% | +3.4% | +5.9% | -1.9% | -1.3% |
| 2017-07-25 miss | 2.59 | 2.58 | -0.4% | -3.5% | -5.1% | +1.9% | +1.6% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 2.06 | 2.16 | +4.7% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +1.2% |
| 2017-01-24 beat | 1.87 | 1.88 | +0.4% | -0.6% | -1.4% | -0.7% | +6.4% |
| 2016-10-25 beat | 2.14 | 2.15 | +0.4% | -1.1% | -2.9% | -1.2% | +3.6% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | 2.07 | 2.08 | +0.6% | -1.4% | -1.1% | +0.4% | +1.0% |
| 2016-04-26 beat | 1.92 | 2.05 | +6.5% | -0.5% | -1.3% | +1.1% | +2.3% |
| 2016-01-26 beat | 1.62 | 1.66 | +2.2% | +3.1% | +5.2% | +2.1% | +9.8% |
| 2015-10-22 beat | 2.01 | 2.05 | +2.2% | +1.0% | +4.1% | +1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 1.99 | 2.02 | +1.3% | -2.2% | -3.8% | +1.4% | -5.0% |
| 2015-04-23 miss | 1.93 | 1.85 | -4.2% | -3.1% | -3.0% | -2.0% | +0.8% |
| 2015-01-27 beat | 1.80 | 1.81 | +0.7% | -1.2% | -0.4% | +1.4% | +3.7% |
| 2014-10-23 beat | 1.96 | 1.98 | +0.9% | +2.1% | +4.4% | +4.9% | +10.4% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | 1.91 | 1.91 | +0.1% | +0.6% | +0.3% | -2.9% | -0.7% |
| 2014-04-24 miss | 1.80 | 1.79 | -0.3% | -1.2% | -1.0% | +3.0% | +3.3% |
| 2014-01-30 beat | 1.62 | 1.62 | +0.3% | -0.2% | -1.7% | +0.7% | +3.2% |
| 2013-10-24 beat | 1.75 | 1.78 | +1.5% | -0.2% | +0.2% | +1.9% | +6.1% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 1.71 | 1.71 | +0.2% | -0.9% | +0.2% | +1.6% | -1.8% |
| 2013-04-25 miss | 1.65 | 1.61 | -2.7% | -3.2% | -2.8% | +1.1% | +5.1% |
| 2013-01-24 miss | 1.41 | 1.41 | -0.1% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +0.9% | +2.1% |
| 2012-10-23 miss | 1.65 | 1.65 | -0.1% | -3.1% | -4.1% | +0.6% | +1.5% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 1.65 | 1.66 | +0.5% | +1.4% | +2.1% | -0.6% | +2.5% |
| 2012-04-24 beat | 1.48 | 1.63 | +10.1% | +2.5% | +1.6% | +1.3% | -4.2% |
| 2012-01-26 beat | 1.31 | 1.35 | +3.1% | +1.2% | +1.3% | -0.2% | +0.6% |
| 2011-10-25 miss | 1.61 | 1.52 | -5.5% | -6.4% | -6.3% | -0.7% | -1.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.