MORN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.8% | -2.8% | 4.0% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.4% | 1.5% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.4% | 1.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | -2.2% | -2.5% | 4.9% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.83 | 3.10 | +9.6% | -0.1% | -2.8% | +1.8% | +12.7% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 2.66 | 3.18 | +19.5% | -7.4% | -10.1% | +5.5% | +16.1% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 2.36 | 2.71 | +14.8% | +2.9% | +3.9% | -2.0% | +14.9% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 2.42 | 2.55 | +5.5% | +0.0% | +2.7% | -1.3% | +0.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 2.19 | 2.40 | +9.4% | -2.5% | -2.7% | -5.9% | -5.1% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.06 | 2.23 | +8.3% | -3.3% | -0.5% | +7.7% | +8.6% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 2.06 | 2.14 | +3.8% | +0.8% | -2.8% | -4.7% | -4.8% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 2.00 | 2.00 | -0.1% | +0.9% | -3.1% | -1.0% | +4.5% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 0.58 | 0.65 | +12.1% | +0.2% | +1.1% | -0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2017-04-21 miss | 0.70 | 0.42 | -40.0% | +0.8% | -4.0% | -2.6% | -3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.