MORN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 3.8% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 44% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 1.3% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | +0.7% | 4.9% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.83 | 3.10 | +9.6% | -0.1% | -2.8% | +1.8% | +12.7% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 2.66 | 3.18 | +19.5% | -7.4% | -10.1% | +5.5% | +16.1% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 2.36 | 2.71 | +14.8% | +2.9% | +3.9% | -2.0% | +14.9% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 2.42 | 2.55 | +5.5% | +0.0% | +2.7% | -1.3% | +0.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 2.19 | 2.40 | +9.4% | -2.5% | -2.7% | -5.9% | -5.1% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.06 | 2.23 | +8.3% | -3.3% | -0.5% | +7.7% | +8.6% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 2.06 | 2.14 | +3.8% | +0.8% | -2.8% | -4.7% | -4.8% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 2.00 | 2.00 | -0.1% | +0.9% | -3.1% | -1.0% | +4.5% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 0.58 | 0.65 | +12.1% | +0.2% | +1.1% | -0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2017-04-21 miss | 0.70 | 0.42 | -40.0% | +0.8% | -4.0% | -2.6% | -3.4% |
| 2017-02-21 | 0.77 | 0.77 | — | +1.6% | +2.1% | -0.6% | -3.7% |
| 2016-10-20 miss | 0.77 | 0.70 | -9.1% | -0.6% | -5.0% | -2.8% | +1.6% |
| 2016-07-21 | 0.73 | 0.73 | — | +0.3% | +1.4% | -0.4% | -3.0% |
| 2016-04-21 miss | 0.73 | 0.67 | -8.2% | -0.7% | -3.4% | -1.3% | -2.4% |
| 2016-02-17 beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +6.2% | +1.3% | -1.7% | +1.1% | +8.9% |
| 2015-10-21 miss | 0.83 | 0.76 | -8.4% | +1.0% | +0.1% | +0.9% | -5.1% |
| 2015-07-22 beat | 0.69 | 0.72 | +4.3% | -0.1% | +3.6% | +2.8% | -2.6% |
| 2015-04-22 miss | 0.68 | 0.67 | -0.7% | -2.0% | +3.3% | +0.2% | +1.7% |
| 2015-02-11 beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +7.6% | +1.0% | +9.9% | +1.4% | -1.6% |
| 2014-10-22 miss | 0.70 | 0.67 | -4.3% | -1.4% | -1.3% | +5.3% | +4.6% |
| 2014-07-23 miss | 0.66 | 0.63 | -4.5% | -1.9% | -2.4% | +0.6% | +1.4% |
| 2014-04-23 miss | 0.67 | 0.58 | -12.8% | -0.9% | -4.2% | +0.9% | -3.0% |
| 2014-02-12 miss | 0.77 | 0.68 | -11.7% | -1.5% | +2.7% | +2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2013-10-23 beat | 0.61 | 0.68 | +11.5% | +0.4% | +3.7% | +2.4% | +8.7% |
| 2013-07-24 | 0.66 | 0.66 | — | -1.2% | +0.5% | +2.0% | +3.6% |
| 2011-04-27 miss | 0.46 | 0.44 | -4.3% | -2.7% | -5.8% | -1.2% | +4.5% |
| 2011-02-17 beat | 0.45 | 0.54 | +21.4% | -1.2% | +5.2% | +0.4% | +0.4% |
| 2010-10-27 miss | 0.47 | 0.41 | -12.8% | -2.9% | +1.4% | +1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2010-07-28 miss | 0.50 | 0.36 | -28.0% | -0.6% | +0.4% | +1.4% | -8.1% |
| 2010-04-28 miss | 0.48 | 0.40 | -16.7% | -0.3% | -1.4% | -1.7% | +1.5% |
| 2010-02-18 miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -7.1% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -1.0% | +10.0% |
| 2009-10-29 beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +4.7% | +0.0% | +0.1% | -1.3% | -7.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.