MOS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.4% | -3.2% | 5.0% | 20% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.9% | 2.4% | 80% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +1.1% | 1.4% | 80% |
| 5-day | -2.3% | -2.0% | 6.3% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -5.9% | -4.4% | +3.1% | -3.5% | +8.9% |
| 2026-05-11 miss | 0.22 | 0.05 | -77.3% | -1.4% | -1.8% | -1.7% | -9.0% |
| 2026-02-24 miss | 0.47 | 0.22 | -53.0% | -3.3% | -5.3% | -3.6% | -7.3% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.95 | 1.04 | +9.4% | +4.7% | -1.2% | -2.9% | -10.0% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 0.72 | 0.51 | -28.9% | -10.5% | -13.3% | +4.1% | +4.9% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +10.1% | -0.3% | +3.6% | +6.7% | +10.3% |
| 2025-02-27 miss | 0.57 | 0.45 | -21.1% | -2.4% | -4.7% | +5.1% | +12.9% |
| 2024-11-12 miss | 0.52 | 0.34 | -34.5% | -1.6% | -7.7% | -1.8% | +3.1% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.66 | 0.54 | -18.4% | +1.8% | -1.4% | +3.9% | -3.8% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 0.66 | 0.65 | -2.1% | -0.9% | -5.1% | +5.2% | +7.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.