MOS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | -1.3% | 6.0% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.9% | 2.8% | 67% |
| Day 3 | +1.4% | +1.1% | 3.0% | 77% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -0.3% | 9.8% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -5.9% | -4.4% | +3.1% | -3.5% | +8.9% |
| 2026-05-11 miss | 0.22 | 0.05 | -77.3% | -1.4% | -1.8% | -1.7% | -9.0% |
| 2026-02-24 miss | 0.47 | 0.22 | -53.0% | -3.3% | -5.3% | -3.6% | -7.3% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.95 | 1.04 | +9.4% | +4.7% | -1.2% | -2.9% | -10.0% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 0.72 | 0.51 | -28.9% | -10.5% | -13.3% | +4.1% | +4.9% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +10.1% | -0.3% | +3.6% | +6.7% | +10.3% |
| 2025-02-27 miss | 0.57 | 0.45 | -21.1% | -2.4% | -4.7% | +5.1% | +12.9% |
| 2024-11-12 miss | 0.52 | 0.34 | -34.5% | -1.6% | -7.7% | -1.8% | +3.1% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.66 | 0.54 | -18.4% | +1.8% | -1.4% | +3.9% | -3.8% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 0.66 | 0.65 | -2.1% | -0.9% | -5.1% | +5.2% | +7.7% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 0.86 | 0.71 | -17.1% | +5.5% | +6.6% | -3.3% | -3.2% |
| 2023-11-07 miss | 0.75 | 0.68 | -9.9% | -0.2% | +2.6% | +13.9% | +8.9% |
| 2023-08-01 miss | 1.10 | 1.04 | -5.8% | -2.3% | +1.2% | +4.1% | -4.6% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 1.25 | 1.14 | -9.0% | -1.8% | -10.0% | -6.8% | -13.9% |
| 2023-02-22 miss | 2.20 | 1.74 | -21.0% | -0.8% | +2.6% | +10.7% | -17.7% |
| 2022-11-07 miss | 3.40 | 3.22 | -5.2% | +0.8% | +5.9% | -0.6% | -11.1% |
| 2022-08-01 miss | 4.00 | 3.64 | -8.9% | -4.2% | +1.6% | +3.4% | +3.2% |
| 2022-05-02 miss | 2.42 | 2.41 | -0.2% | -3.4% | +8.7% | -15.0% | -11.4% |
| 2022-02-22 miss | 1.98 | 1.95 | -1.3% | -3.2% | +2.3% | +18.9% | +51.7% |
| 2021-11-01 miss | 1.54 | 1.35 | -12.5% | -4.0% | -9.2% | -0.3% | -8.0% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.01 | 1.17 | +15.5% | +1.1% | +4.7% | +7.4% | +1.5% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +7.2% | -6.4% | -2.0% | +2.6% | +8.9% |
| 2021-02-17 beat | 0.21 | 0.57 | +176.2% | -0.5% | -9.1% | +11.3% | +20.5% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | 0.17 | 0.23 | +35.0% | -8.2% | -12.1% | +2.5% | +23.5% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.02 | 0.11 | +419.6% | +3.0% | +5.0% | +6.7% | +13.3% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +10.0% | +1.4% | -8.3% | -5.6% | +30.6% |
| 2020-02-19 miss | -0.06 | -0.29 | -393.9% | +2.5% | +0.3% | -10.4% | -48.1% |
| 2019-11-04 miss | 0.23 | 0.08 | -64.5% | -0.5% | +1.5% | -3.3% | -14.3% |
| 2019-08-06 miss | 0.29 | 0.12 | -57.9% | +3.9% | -6.7% | -6.4% | -12.0% |
| 2019-05-06 miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -0.3% | -2.1% | -8.0% | -1.9% | -3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.