MPLX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 2.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 1.7% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | +0.2% | 2.0% | 53% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -0.8% | 3.9% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 1.06 | 1.06 | -0.3% | +0.1% | +2.7% | -2.0% | -2.5% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 1.08 | 0.90 | -16.6% | -0.6% | -2.6% | -2.3% | +1.2% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.03 | 1.05 | +1.8% | +1.6% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +6.1% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.09 | 1.52 | +40.0% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +9.1% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 1.08 | 1.03 | -4.8% | -0.4% | -3.5% | -2.0% | -0.1% |
| 2025-05-06 miss | 1.15 | 1.10 | -4.3% | +0.0% | -1.7% | +1.3% | +3.0% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.03 | 1.07 | +3.7% | -1.9% | +2.4% | +1.0% | -0.6% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 1.03 | 1.01 | -2.3% | +2.0% | +2.4% | +1.4% | +9.5% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.99 | 1.15 | +16.0% | +2.9% | +1.2% | -2.4% | +3.2% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.97 | 0.98 | +1.4% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -3.8% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +2.8% | +0.3% | +1.2% | -2.6% | -0.2% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 0.93 | 0.96 | +2.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | -1.0% | +1.2% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +4.6% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -1.8% | -1.7% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.83 | 0.91 | +9.3% | +0.7% | -0.4% | -2.1% | -4.1% |
| 2023-01-31 miss | 0.85 | 0.78 | -8.2% | +0.4% | +0.7% | -2.7% | -0.3% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.83 | 0.88 | +5.4% | +2.1% | +2.8% | -1.2% | -1.9% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.79 | 0.83 | +4.8% | +0.0% | -1.1% | -2.7% | +1.9% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.8% | +0.6% | +0.5% | -5.3% | +1.4% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +4.8% | +0.5% | -0.1% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.70 | 0.74 | +4.9% | +2.7% | +2.1% | +2.3% | -6.2% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.64 | 0.70 | +8.3% | -0.7% | -0.8% | +0.8% | +3.5% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.61 | 0.67 | +10.6% | +1.0% | +3.1% | +0.7% | +3.2% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 0.63 | 0.63 | +0.9% | +2.8% | +1.0% | +0.3% | +8.3% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +8.4% | +2.4% | +4.6% | +6.6% | +21.1% |
| 2020-08-03 beat | 0.49 | 0.58 | +17.2% | +3.6% | +4.0% | +2.0% | -5.8% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.54 | 0.64 | +18.2% | +2.5% | -2.6% | +3.5% | +18.5% |
| 2020-01-29 miss | 0.61 | 0.55 | -9.7% | +0.8% | -2.2% | -0.8% | -13.9% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 0.65 | 0.61 | -5.9% | +1.0% | +0.1% | -5.5% | -10.9% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 0.64 | 0.55 | -14.3% | +1.9% | +0.2% | -6.5% | -5.1% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +5.4% | -4.2% | -3.6% | +1.2% | +0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.