MPLX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 4.2% | 54% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.4% | 2.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 2.4% | 57% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | -0.8% | 7.7% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 1.06 | 1.06 | -0.3% | +0.1% | +2.7% | -2.0% | -2.5% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 1.08 | 0.90 | -16.6% | -0.6% | -2.6% | -2.3% | +1.2% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.03 | 1.05 | +1.8% | +1.6% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +6.1% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.09 | 1.52 | +40.0% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +9.1% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 1.08 | 1.03 | -4.8% | -0.4% | -3.5% | -2.0% | -0.1% |
| 2025-05-06 miss | 1.15 | 1.10 | -4.3% | +0.0% | -1.7% | +1.3% | +3.0% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.03 | 1.07 | +3.7% | -1.9% | +2.4% | +1.0% | -0.6% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 1.03 | 1.01 | -2.3% | +2.0% | +2.4% | +1.4% | +9.5% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.99 | 1.15 | +16.0% | +2.9% | +1.2% | -2.4% | +3.2% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.97 | 0.98 | +1.4% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -3.8% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +2.8% | +0.3% | +1.2% | -2.6% | -0.2% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 0.93 | 0.96 | +2.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | -1.0% | +1.2% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +4.6% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -1.8% | -1.7% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.83 | 0.91 | +9.3% | +0.7% | -0.4% | -2.1% | -4.1% |
| 2023-01-31 miss | 0.85 | 0.78 | -8.2% | +0.4% | +0.7% | -2.7% | -0.3% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.83 | 0.88 | +5.4% | +2.1% | +2.8% | -1.2% | -1.9% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.79 | 0.83 | +4.8% | +0.0% | -1.1% | -2.7% | +1.9% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.8% | +0.6% | +0.5% | -5.3% | +1.4% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +4.8% | +0.5% | -0.1% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.70 | 0.74 | +4.9% | +2.7% | +2.1% | +2.3% | -6.2% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.64 | 0.70 | +8.3% | -0.7% | -0.8% | +0.8% | +3.5% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.61 | 0.67 | +10.6% | +1.0% | +3.1% | +0.7% | +3.2% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 0.63 | 0.63 | +0.9% | +2.8% | +1.0% | +0.3% | +8.3% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +8.4% | +2.4% | +4.6% | +6.6% | +21.1% |
| 2020-08-03 beat | 0.49 | 0.58 | +17.2% | +3.6% | +4.0% | +2.0% | -5.8% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.54 | 0.64 | +18.2% | +2.5% | -2.6% | +3.5% | +18.5% |
| 2020-01-29 miss | 0.61 | 0.55 | -9.7% | +0.8% | -2.2% | -0.8% | -13.9% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 0.65 | 0.61 | -5.9% | +1.0% | +0.1% | -5.5% | -10.9% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 0.64 | 0.55 | -14.3% | +1.9% | +0.2% | -6.5% | -5.1% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +5.4% | -4.2% | -3.6% | +1.2% | +0.1% |
| 2019-02-07 miss | 0.66 | 0.60 | -9.8% | -1.8% | -3.5% | +2.1% | +0.9% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.58 | 0.62 | +6.9% | +1.2% | +2.6% | -1.6% | -0.1% |
| 2018-07-26 miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -2.0% | +1.0% | +2.1% | +2.2% | -0.5% |
| 2018-04-30 beat | 0.45 | 0.61 | +35.8% | +1.2% | +2.9% | -1.7% | +2.1% |
| 2018-02-01 miss | 0.35 | 0.31 | -10.4% | -0.1% | +2.0% | -8.5% | -7.2% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +4.2% | +1.0% | +5.1% | +2.1% | +3.4% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +18.6% | +1.5% | -0.1% | -2.5% | -6.5% |
| 2017-04-27 miss | 0.19 | 0.19 | -1.7% | +1.2% | -2.5% | -6.1% | -4.1% |
| 2017-02-01 miss | 0.22 | 0.17 | -22.4% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2016-10-27 miss | 0.24 | 0.21 | -12.1% | +4.0% | +5.6% | -5.2% | -3.4% |
| 2016-07-28 miss | 0.26 | 0.16 | -39.5% | -0.7% | +1.5% | +0.0% | +0.6% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | 0.20 | 0.10 | -49.5% | -0.1% | -0.8% | -3.9% | +1.2% |
| 2016-02-03 miss | 0.33 | -0.14 | -142.2% | -10.7% | -24.9% | -17.7% | +22.4% |
| 2015-10-29 miss | 0.58 | 0.41 | -29.5% | +0.1% | +4.8% | +18.5% | +16.4% |
| 2015-07-30 miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.0% | -0.8% | -1.0% | -15.2% | -10.7% |
| 2015-04-30 miss | 0.51 | 0.46 | -10.6% | -2.7% | -2.6% | -4.8% | -5.4% |
| 2015-02-04 miss | 0.43 | 0.38 | -11.3% | -1.9% | -3.5% | +1.7% | +0.7% |
| 2014-10-30 miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -5.6% | +2.3% | +7.5% | +5.6% | +1.6% |
| 2014-07-31 miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -5.5% | -5.1% | -2.1% | +0.8% | +7.5% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.34 | 0.92 | +170.9% | -0.8% | +2.1% | +3.1% | +4.2% |
| 2014-01-29 miss | 0.27 | 0.27 | -0.0% | +0.3% | +1.3% | -3.4% | +4.1% |
| 2013-11-06 beat | 0.21 | 0.31 | +44.2% | +0.5% | -0.8% | +2.0% | +4.0% |
| 2013-10-31 miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -8.0% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -1.0% | +5.5% |
| 2013-08-01 miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -8.5% | -0.7% | -1.0% | +4.0% | +0.9% |
| 2013-04-30 beat | 0.27 | 0.48 | +74.8% | -0.3% | -2.1% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2013-01-30 beat | 0.24 | 0.78 | +227.4% | -0.2% | +2.6% | +0.1% | -4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.