MSM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.9% | 3.4% | 35% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 2.1% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.4% | 1.5% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -0.1% | 3.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 beat | 1.27 | 1.43 | +12.6% | +0.6% | +3.7% | -2.2% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-01 miss | 0.84 | 0.82 | -1.9% | -4.0% | -0.8% | +5.0% | +12.1% |
| 2026-01-07 beat | 0.95 | 0.99 | +4.8% | -3.0% | -4.5% | +4.4% | +17.9% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 1.03 | 1.09 | +6.3% | +3.4% | +3.1% | -5.2% | -1.8% |
| 2025-07-01 beat | 1.03 | 1.08 | +5.1% | +4.8% | +6.2% | +0.4% | -4.1% |
| 2025-04-03 miss | 0.72 | 0.72 | -0.5% | -2.8% | -5.2% | +0.7% | +2.8% |
| 2025-01-08 beat | 0.73 | 0.86 | +18.3% | +5.1% | +3.5% | -1.6% | -2.5% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 1.07 | 1.03 | -3.9% | -3.5% | -3.8% | +1.6% | +9.8% |
| 2024-07-02 beat | 1.33 | 1.33 | +0.2% | -0.3% | +2.3% | -5.0% | +5.4% |
| 2024-03-28 beat | 1.16 | 1.18 | +2.0% | -0.8% | -2.5% | -1.5% | -4.1% |
| 2024-01-09 miss | 1.30 | 1.25 | -3.8% | -3.5% | -3.1% | +2.1% | +6.2% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 1.62 | 1.64 | +1.4% | -0.5% | -3.0% | +3.1% | +7.0% |
| 2023-06-29 beat | 1.74 | 1.74 | +0.0% | -3.1% | -1.7% | +1.2% | +7.0% |
| 2023-04-04 beat | 1.36 | 1.45 | +6.8% | +4.3% | -0.9% | +4.6% | +7.1% |
| 2023-01-05 beat | 1.47 | 1.48 | +1.0% | -0.4% | -5.5% | +4.5% | +15.4% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 1.75 | 1.79 | +2.1% | +0.3% | -0.9% | +5.8% | +11.0% |
| 2022-06-29 beat | 1.74 | 1.82 | +4.7% | +1.9% | +2.4% | -1.1% | +9.7% |
| 2022-03-30 beat | 1.23 | 1.29 | +5.1% | +1.0% | +3.9% | -1.8% | -3.5% |
| 2021-12-22 beat | 1.20 | 1.25 | +4.2% | +0.7% | -0.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% |
| 2021-10-20 miss | 1.28 | 1.26 | -1.2% | -0.5% | -2.4% | -2.7% | +1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.