MT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.0% | +2.3% | 4.8% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | -0.3% | 2.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 1.9% | 50% |
| 5-day | +4.2% | +4.1% | 6.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 1.09 | 0.89 | -18.4% | +3.2% | +5.5% | +5.6% | +7.3% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +6.1% | +3.9% | +2.3% | +6.9% | +22.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.55 | 0.86 | +56.9% | +0.6% | +2.3% | +7.6% | -2.5% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.55 | 0.62 | +12.1% | +3.4% | +1.2% | +5.4% | +15.1% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 1.81 | 1.32 | -27.2% | -6.7% | -2.6% | +2.3% | +5.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.73 | 1.04 | +42.7% | -6.1% | -1.7% | +0.7% | +3.0% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.73 | 0.52 | -29.1% | +7.5% | +11.2% | +1.3% | +11.1% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.48 | 0.63 | +30.5% | +4.4% | +4.3% | -7.6% | -2.9% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.81 | 0.63 | -21.8% | -1.9% | -6.3% | +1.9% | +10.3% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.83 | 1.16 | +40.1% | +2.4% | +4.0% | -2.2% | +2.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.