MT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.8% | 4.6% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -0.3% | 3.4% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.1% | 3.8% | 47% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -0.3% | 8.1% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 1.09 | 0.89 | -18.4% | +3.2% | +5.5% | +5.6% | +7.3% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +6.1% | +3.9% | +2.3% | +6.9% | +22.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.55 | 0.86 | +56.9% | +0.6% | +2.3% | +7.6% | -2.5% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.55 | 0.62 | +12.1% | +3.4% | +1.2% | +5.4% | +15.1% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 1.81 | 1.32 | -27.2% | -6.7% | -2.6% | +2.3% | +5.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.73 | 1.04 | +42.7% | -6.1% | -1.7% | +0.7% | +3.0% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.73 | 0.52 | -29.1% | +7.5% | +11.2% | +1.3% | +11.1% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.48 | 0.63 | +30.5% | +4.4% | +4.3% | -7.6% | -2.9% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.81 | 0.63 | -21.8% | -1.9% | -6.3% | +1.9% | +10.3% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.83 | 1.16 | +40.1% | +2.4% | +4.0% | -2.2% | +2.5% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.75 | 1.27 | +70.5% | -3.5% | -5.8% | -1.4% | +0.1% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 0.28 | 1.37 | +384.9% | +3.2% | +0.4% | +5.2% | -2.0% |
| 2022-11-10 beat | 1.25 | 1.42 | +13.5% | +2.6% | +4.9% | +3.5% | +7.6% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 3.90 | 4.24 | +8.7% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +2.6% | -0.9% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 3.41 | 4.27 | +25.1% | -1.0% | -7.2% | -2.3% | +19.4% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 3.48 | 3.71 | +6.5% | -3.5% | -7.6% | -1.2% | -1.8% |
| 2021-11-11 beat | 4.17 | 4.27 | +2.4% | +5.3% | +4.9% | -5.6% | -10.1% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 2.48 | 3.46 | +39.8% | +0.9% | +2.4% | -2.2% | -1.2% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 1.57 | 1.93 | +22.9% | +2.3% | +4.7% | -0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2021-02-11 beat | 0.08 | 0.19 | +132.5% | -1.5% | -3.4% | +5.7% | +19.9% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | -0.19 | -0.16 | +17.3% | +1.5% | +2.8% | +7.0% | +45.3% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | -0.57 | -0.35 | +39.2% | -4.7% | -4.4% | +8.4% | +14.8% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.03 | -0.56 | -2356.8% | +2.6% | +5.7% | -24.1% | +7.7% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | -0.46 | -0.22 | +51.9% | +10.9% | +9.6% | +0.5% | -40.3% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | -0.29 | -0.53 | -82.8% | +8.0% | +8.5% | -5.2% | +3.2% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -1.4% | -1.3% | -1.8% | -5.9% | -6.9% |
| 2019-05-09 miss | 1.05 | 0.52 | -50.2% | -4.4% | -3.5% | -10.7% | -15.8% |
| 2019-02-06 beat | 0.94 | 1.35 | +43.8% | -2.5% | -3.9% | -3.8% | -6.5% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | 1.47 | 1.30 | -11.4% | +1.6% | +1.4% | +0.6% | -6.0% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | 1.66 | 1.83 | +10.2% | +2.3% | +2.4% | -1.1% | -6.8% |
| 2018-05-11 beat | 0.94 | 1.36 | +44.7% | +2.3% | +1.2% | -1.3% | -7.0% |
| 2018-01-31 beat | 0.76 | 1.17 | +55.1% | +1.1% | -0.6% | -7.8% | -8.6% |
| 2017-11-10 beat | 0.82 | 1.18 | +44.8% | +5.2% | +3.5% | -3.9% | +8.9% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 1.08 | 1.33 | +22.9% | +2.0% | +0.7% | -1.4% | +2.6% |
| 2017-05-12 beat | 0.78 | 0.99 | +26.9% | -5.0% | -6.4% | +3.7% | -3.2% |
| 2017-02-10 beat | 0.12 | 0.55 | +356.0% | +4.2% | +6.3% | +4.0% | -0.9% |
| 2016-11-08 miss | 0.81 | 0.66 | -18.5% | +0.0% | -6.5% | +13.6% | +35.1% |
| 2016-07-29 beat | 0.15 | 0.43 | +185.0% | +4.9% | +6.0% | -0.9% | -5.1% |
| 2016-05-06 miss | -0.45 | -0.69 | -53.3% | -2.6% | -0.9% | -12.7% | +2.1% |
| 2016-02-05 miss | -0.78 | -1.77 | -126.9% | -7.8% | -9.7% | -15.5% | +25.2% |
| 2015-11-06 miss | -0.13 | -0.26 | -94.2% | -3.1% | -0.6% | -10.9% | -27.6% |
| 2015-07-31 beat | -0.43 | 0.32 | +173.2% | +3.8% | +1.7% | +4.4% | -12.6% |
| 2015-05-07 miss | -0.27 | -1.23 | -355.6% | -4.2% | -5.1% | +13.0% | +5.9% |
| 2014-11-07 beat | 0.63 | 0.84 | +33.3% | +0.6% | +1.7% | -2.7% | -6.1% |
| 2014-05-08 miss | 0.62 | -0.36 | -158.0% | -1.9% | -3.8% | +1.4% | -2.9% |
| 2014-02-07 miss | -0.48 | -0.91 | -90.0% | +2.5% | +1.3% | -3.0% | -11.9% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | -0.47 | -0.16 | +66.0% | +4.6% | +2.5% | +1.3% | +2.5% |
| 2013-08-01 miss | 0.06 | -0.95 | -1688.5% | -2.7% | -3.4% | +3.2% | +1.8% |
| 2013-02-06 beat | -0.27 | 2.02 | +846.7% | +1.0% | +0.3% | -1.9% | -13.1% |
| 2012-10-31 miss | -0.27 | -0.93 | -240.6% | -1.1% | -4.3% | +4.1% | +2.9% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 1.05 | 2.10 | +99.8% | +2.9% | +1.0% | +11.6% | +8.8% |
| 2012-05-10 beat | 0.24 | 0.36 | +50.9% | +3.7% | +1.6% | -13.1% | -16.2% |
| 2012-02-07 miss | 0.41 | -1.07 | -358.9% | +2.4% | +3.4% | -1.8% | -10.7% |
| 2011-11-03 miss | 1.51 | 1.41 | -6.9% | +1.6% | +3.3% | -9.0% | -4.6% |
| 2011-07-27 miss | 2.95 | 2.79 | -5.3% | +1.6% | -1.6% | -10.6% | -36.8% |
| 2011-05-11 miss | 1.44 | 1.21 | -15.8% | -3.6% | -6.1% | -2.4% | -6.2% |
| 2011-02-08 miss | 0.91 | -0.45 | -149.4% | +4.7% | +4.2% | -3.0% | -11.3% |
| 2010-04-29 beat | 0.80 | 1.05 | +32.1% | -1.1% | -2.0% | -14.1% | -24.5% |
| 2010-02-10 beat | 0.80 | 2.04 | +153.7% | -5.1% | -7.1% | +7.8% | +15.9% |
| 2009-10-28 beat | -0.19 | 1.80 | +1047.4% | -1.9% | -4.0% | +0.9% | +13.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.