MTCH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | +0.9% | 8.7% | 52% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -1.5% | 3.9% | 36% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 3.3% | 64% |
| 5-day | -2.3% | -2.2% | 8.9% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.96 | 0.91 | -4.5% | -8.1% | -7.5% | -4.1% | +11.2% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.86 | 0.97 | +13.2% | -3.6% | +0.9% | -5.1% | -9.4% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.02 | 1.06 | +3.7% | +14.8% | +5.9% | +2.6% | -0.5% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | 0.91 | 0.83 | -9.4% | -1.1% | +5.2% | -0.6% | +4.0% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 0.77 | 0.71 | -8.2% | +6.6% | +10.5% | +3.9% | +2.4% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +3.7% | +0.5% | -9.6% | +5.5% | +16.2% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | 0.83 | 0.82 | -1.9% | -4.3% | -7.9% | +1.3% | -2.9% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.79 | 0.79 | +0.3% | -15.3% | -17.9% | +0.5% | +7.3% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 0.73 | 0.69 | -5.2% | +12.8% | +13.2% | -8.4% | -2.5% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +2.7% | -8.1% | -5.4% | +5.2% | +7.4% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 0.72 | 1.08 | +49.7% | +0.0% | +1.7% | -9.3% | -6.4% |
| 2023-10-31 miss | 0.76 | 0.75 | -1.7% | -12.7% | -15.3% | +1.9% | +14.0% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +5.3% | +3.3% | -0.9% | -0.1% | +2.4% |
| 2023-05-02 miss | 0.57 | 0.54 | -4.2% | +8.9% | -2.9% | -3.6% | +16.1% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 0.63 | 0.87 | +39.2% | -7.8% | -5.0% | -6.8% | -19.0% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.9% | +18.1% | +4.2% | -6.1% | +6.4% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.63 | 0.69 | +9.0% | -21.7% | -17.6% | +4.4% | -12.3% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.49 | 0.77 | +56.7% | -12.0% | +6.2% | -16.8% | -2.0% |
| 2022-02-01 miss | 0.49 | -0.47 | -195.3% | +1.2% | +5.3% | -0.7% | -18.2% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 0.58 | 0.56 | -1.8% | +0.0% | +3.0% | +0.7% | -17.5% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +3.3% | -4.0% | -5.0% | -6.7% | -2.3% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.45 | 0.66 | +47.4% | +5.8% | +3.4% | -1.4% | -4.0% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.1% | -2.7% | -8.0% | +23.9% | +5.9% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | 0.52 | 0.59 | +13.3% | +2.6% | +4.9% | -2.7% | +8.2% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.48 | 0.63 | +30.0% | +10.6% | +12.2% | -4.0% | -8.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.