NEM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -2.1% | 8.3% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -1.8% | -2.2% | 2.5% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | -3.2% | -1.7% | 8.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 1.99 | 2.10 | +5.7% | -1.0% | -1.6% | +0.6% | +41.5% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 2.17 | 2.90 | +33.5% | +3.6% | +8.7% | -10.0% | -7.5% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 2.03 | 2.52 | +24.2% | -2.4% | -2.6% | +6.4% | -19.6% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 1.44 | 1.71 | +18.8% | -7.2% | -6.2% | -2.9% | +3.8% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.16 | 1.43 | +22.9% | +3.9% | +6.9% | -4.8% | +8.1% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.91 | 1.25 | +37.1% | +3.0% | +4.8% | -7.6% | -3.7% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 1.03 | 1.40 | +35.8% | -1.3% | -5.7% | -5.5% | +3.3% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 0.86 | 0.81 | -5.3% | -3.5% | -14.7% | -7.7% | -11.9% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +17.8% | -4.0% | -4.2% | +8.4% | +13.9% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.37 | 0.55 | +50.6% | +4.5% | +12.5% | -5.4% | -3.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.