NEM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.3% | -2.0% | 5.8% | 37% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.8% | 2.9% | 43% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.3% | 2.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | -0.9% | 7.0% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 1.99 | 2.10 | +5.7% | -1.0% | -1.6% | +0.6% | +41.5% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 2.17 | 2.90 | +33.5% | +3.6% | +8.7% | -10.0% | -7.5% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 2.03 | 2.52 | +24.2% | -2.4% | -2.6% | +6.4% | -19.6% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 1.44 | 1.71 | +18.8% | -7.2% | -6.2% | -2.9% | +3.8% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.16 | 1.43 | +22.9% | +3.9% | +6.9% | -4.8% | +8.1% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.91 | 1.25 | +37.1% | +3.0% | +4.8% | -7.6% | -3.7% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 1.03 | 1.40 | +35.8% | -1.3% | -5.7% | -5.5% | +3.3% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 0.86 | 0.81 | -5.3% | -3.5% | -14.7% | -7.7% | -11.9% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +17.8% | -4.0% | -4.2% | +8.4% | +13.9% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.37 | 0.55 | +50.6% | +4.5% | +12.5% | -5.4% | -3.3% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +13.5% | -1.3% | -7.6% | +1.2% | +9.3% |
| 2023-10-26 miss | 0.40 | 0.36 | -10.9% | +1.1% | +2.0% | +1.3% | +1.9% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 0.45 | 0.33 | -26.9% | -3.9% | -6.0% | -0.8% | -10.0% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.32 | 0.40 | +24.9% | -0.7% | +2.4% | +2.4% | -15.7% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -1.7% | -0.3% | +0.1% | -0.7% | +9.7% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 0.34 | 0.27 | -19.7% | +1.7% | -1.4% | +4.9% | +16.4% |
| 2022-07-25 miss | 0.61 | 0.46 | -24.3% | -3.4% | -13.2% | +0.8% | -0.1% |
| 2022-04-22 miss | 0.72 | 0.69 | -4.5% | -7.6% | -3.3% | -2.2% | -9.5% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.77 | 0.78 | +1.8% | +3.1% | -2.2% | +5.9% | +18.3% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 0.73 | 0.60 | -17.4% | -2.2% | -4.6% | -0.1% | +0.9% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 0.77 | 0.83 | +7.8% | +0.4% | -0.2% | +4.2% | -6.4% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | 0.78 | 0.74 | -5.6% | -1.5% | -2.9% | +7.4% | +17.9% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 0.94 | 1.06 | +12.4% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -2.2% | +8.0% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +3.9% | +0.4% | +2.9% | +12.4% | -2.5% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.3% | -2.5% | -3.3% | +6.8% | +1.6% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | 0.42 | 0.40 | -4.9% | -0.1% | +3.5% | -3.7% | -13.9% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +5.1% | +0.9% | +4.2% | -3.3% | -15.7% |
| 2019-11-05 miss | 0.39 | 0.36 | -6.6% | -1.6% | -3.4% | -1.7% | +6.5% |
| 2019-07-25 miss | 0.23 | 0.12 | -47.4% | -2.5% | -2.7% | -2.9% | +2.7% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.27 | 0.33 | +24.1% | +2.0% | -1.8% | -4.8% | +0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.