NEP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.8% | -2.5% | 11.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -1.9% | -0.5% | 4.5% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.8% | 3.3% | 60% |
| 5-day | -5.4% | -5.8% | 18.0% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-28 miss | 0.15 | -1.08 | -819.8% | -24.5% | -25.1% | -18.8% | -25.3% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 0.52 | -0.43 | -182.9% | -6.7% | -16.3% | -8.7% | -22.2% |
| 2024-07-24 miss | 0.91 | 0.66 | -27.2% | +2.6% | -1.0% | -7.0% | -8.1% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 0.41 | 0.75 | +83.7% | +2.2% | +4.8% | -1.4% | +20.1% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.22 | 1.20 | +453.8% | +5.4% | +8.9% | +7.8% | -9.5% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 0.44 | 0.57 | +29.4% | +5.2% | +14.9% | +5.0% | -8.2% |
| 2023-07-25 miss | 0.81 | 0.53 | -34.4% | +0.7% | -4.1% | -5.6% | -17.4% |
| 2023-04-25 miss | 0.52 | -0.17 | -133.0% | -1.9% | -6.2% | -8.2% | -0.4% |
| 2023-01-25 miss | 0.52 | 0.40 | -23.2% | -1.4% | -4.7% | +1.0% | -7.2% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 0.71 | 0.93 | +31.2% | +0.0% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +5.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.