NEP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.2% | -0.9% | 7.0% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.9% | 3.4% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 2.3% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | +0.9% | 11.4% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-28 miss | 0.15 | -1.08 | -819.8% | -24.5% | -25.1% | -18.8% | -25.3% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 0.52 | -0.43 | -182.9% | -6.7% | -16.3% | -8.7% | -22.2% |
| 2024-07-24 miss | 0.91 | 0.66 | -27.2% | +2.6% | -1.0% | -7.0% | -8.1% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 0.41 | 0.75 | +83.7% | +2.2% | +4.8% | -1.4% | +20.1% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.22 | 1.20 | +453.8% | +5.4% | +8.9% | +7.8% | -9.5% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 0.44 | 0.57 | +29.4% | +5.2% | +14.9% | +5.0% | -8.2% |
| 2023-07-25 miss | 0.81 | 0.53 | -34.4% | +0.7% | -4.1% | -5.6% | -17.4% |
| 2023-04-25 miss | 0.52 | -0.17 | -133.0% | -1.9% | -6.2% | -8.2% | -0.4% |
| 2023-01-25 miss | 0.52 | 0.40 | -23.2% | -1.4% | -4.7% | +1.0% | -7.2% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 0.71 | 0.93 | +31.2% | +0.0% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +5.5% |
| 2022-07-22 beat | 0.28 | 2.61 | +816.9% | +2.3% | +5.0% | +7.1% | +8.7% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 0.48 | 1.72 | +257.5% | +1.3% | -3.3% | -6.5% | -9.6% |
| 2022-01-25 miss | 0.29 | -0.12 | -140.8% | -0.7% | -2.7% | +6.8% | +4.5% |
| 2021-10-20 miss | 0.62 | 0.24 | -61.2% | -1.6% | +1.5% | +3.8% | +7.8% |
| 2021-07-23 miss | 0.57 | -0.96 | -267.4% | -3.8% | -0.6% | +4.3% | +6.4% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 0.31 | 2.66 | +754.1% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +3.8% | -6.7% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | 0.43 | 0.85 | +96.2% | +0.0% | -3.7% | +3.7% | -10.4% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 0.51 | 0.76 | +49.0% | +3.1% | -1.9% | -0.3% | +0.5% |
| 2020-07-24 beat | 0.47 | 0.69 | +45.4% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +2.9% | +1.7% |
| 2020-04-22 miss | 0.45 | -3.39 | -857.1% | +2.4% | +7.2% | +4.9% | +5.3% |
| 2020-01-24 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +3.7% | -0.2% | -0.9% | +1.5% | +6.8% |
| 2019-10-22 miss | 0.55 | -1.21 | -319.5% | -1.2% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +3.0% |
| 2019-07-24 miss | 0.35 | -0.49 | -240.7% | -1.9% | -2.0% | -1.4% | +1.1% |
| 2019-04-23 miss | 0.37 | -0.38 | -201.5% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -0.3% | -0.8% |
| 2019-01-25 miss | 0.53 | -0.39 | -173.9% | -1.9% | -6.3% | +1.1% | +4.9% |
| 2018-10-23 beat | 0.38 | 0.58 | +52.4% | +1.9% | -2.4% | -3.0% | +2.2% |
| 2018-07-25 miss | 0.46 | -1.38 | -397.1% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +3.6% | +6.1% |
| 2018-04-24 beat | 0.51 | 1.21 | +135.3% | -0.3% | +2.4% | +0.6% | +5.5% |
| 2018-01-26 miss | 0.39 | 0.18 | -54.1% | -1.7% | +2.4% | -0.3% | -8.2% |
| 2017-10-26 miss | 0.39 | 0.01 | -97.4% | -2.5% | -3.0% | -3.8% | +0.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.