NFG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | +1.1% | 3.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | -0.2% | 1.6% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.3% | 1.8% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +1.6% | 4.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.44 | 1.54 | +7.1% | -1.9% | +1.9% | -2.2% | +0.6% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 2.84 | 2.71 | -4.5% | -1.0% | -4.2% | -4.9% | -8.8% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 1.92 | 2.06 | +7.3% | -1.7% | +1.1% | +0.8% | +10.3% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.11 | 1.22 | +9.7% | +1.3% | -1.8% | +3.6% | +4.5% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.54 | 1.64 | +6.2% | -2.4% | -1.7% | +0.6% | -0.1% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.21 | 2.39 | +8.1% | -1.0% | +3.2% | +2.8% | +5.1% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 1.56 | 1.66 | +6.7% | +1.8% | +2.7% | +2.7% | +7.1% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.82 | 0.77 | -6.6% | -2.6% | -5.6% | +2.6% | +3.8% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +0.6% | -1.4% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +1.0% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.46 | 1.79 | +22.9% | +5.3% | +3.4% | +3.0% | +4.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.