NFG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +1.9% | 3.0% | 67% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.7% | 53% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +1.6% | 3.7% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.44 | 1.54 | +7.1% | -1.9% | +1.9% | -2.2% | +0.6% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 2.84 | 2.71 | -4.5% | -1.0% | -4.2% | -4.9% | -8.8% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 1.92 | 2.06 | +7.3% | -1.7% | +1.1% | +0.8% | +10.3% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.11 | 1.22 | +9.7% | +1.3% | -1.8% | +3.6% | +4.5% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.54 | 1.64 | +6.2% | -2.4% | -1.7% | +0.6% | -0.1% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.21 | 2.39 | +8.1% | -1.0% | +3.2% | +2.8% | +5.1% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 1.56 | 1.66 | +6.7% | +1.8% | +2.7% | +2.7% | +7.1% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.82 | 0.77 | -6.6% | -2.6% | -5.6% | +2.6% | +3.8% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +0.6% | -1.4% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +1.0% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.46 | 1.79 | +22.9% | +5.3% | +3.4% | +3.0% | +4.4% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 1.34 | 1.46 | +8.9% | +0.7% | +6.5% | -1.9% | +6.4% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 0.85 | 0.78 | -7.8% | -3.0% | +2.7% | -5.3% | -3.1% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.92 | 1.01 | +10.3% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +3.5% | +0.6% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 1.55 | 1.54 | -0.3% | +0.9% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -1.3% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 1.69 | 1.84 | +8.6% | -0.1% | +2.9% | -1.8% | -2.7% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 1.23 | 1.19 | -3.1% | -0.1% | -2.3% | +3.0% | -1.4% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 1.43 | 1.54 | +7.8% | -0.8% | +2.2% | +1.2% | -1.6% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 1.62 | 1.68 | +3.9% | -1.4% | -1.9% | -3.9% | +7.8% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 1.33 | 1.48 | +11.2% | +0.3% | -3.7% | +3.8% | +10.7% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.75 | 0.95 | +25.9% | +0.0% | +2.7% | +1.5% | +4.2% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.82 | 0.93 | +13.2% | +2.0% | +2.1% | -0.6% | -2.8% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 1.20 | 1.34 | +12.0% | +0.4% | +2.6% | -0.5% | +3.0% |
| 2021-02-05 beat | 1.05 | 1.06 | +0.7% | +0.8% | +2.2% | +4.2% | +14.5% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +16.4% | +0.0% | -5.4% | +9.8% | +10.2% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +11.0% | +0.8% | +3.6% | +2.5% | -2.7% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +1.6% | +0.1% | -1.5% | +4.5% | +5.3% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 0.98 | 1.01 | +3.3% | +0.4% | +2.9% | -1.3% | -13.2% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +2.5% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +2.6% | -2.0% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +8.0% | +0.4% | +4.2% | -2.8% | -4.2% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 1.14 | 1.07 | -6.4% | +0.0% | -0.4% | -1.8% | -6.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.