NFLX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.0% | -3.0% | 11.0% | 33% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 3.0% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 2.6% | 53% |
| 5-day | -1.9% | -3.4% | 13.8% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 beat | 0.79 | 0.80 | +1.4% | -11.9% | -7.3% | +1.7% | +10.3% |
| 2026-04-16 miss | 1.32 | 1.23 | -6.9% | -10.6% | -9.7% | -5.0% | -7.9% |
| 2026-01-20 beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.4% | -5.4% | -2.2% | -0.8% | -7.8% |
| 2025-10-21 miss | 0.70 | 0.59 | -15.8% | -7.9% | -10.1% | -1.4% | -5.3% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.9% | -2.5% | -5.1% | -2.4% | +3.0% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 0.57 | 0.66 | +16.4% | +1.2% | +1.5% | +12.4% | +20.7% |
| 2025-01-21 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +1.8% | +14.8% | +9.7% | +2.5% | +5.2% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +5.3% | +7.3% | +11.1% | -1.2% | +10.9% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.5% | +2.7% | -1.5% | -0.3% | +8.7% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 0.45 | 0.53 | +16.7% | -7.0% | -9.1% | +1.1% | +15.5% |
| 2024-01-23 miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -4.8% | +9.3% | +10.7% | +3.5% | +7.1% |
| 2023-10-18 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +6.7% | +16.9% | +16.1% | +0.4% | +16.0% |
| 2023-07-19 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +15.4% | -6.4% | -8.4% | -5.5% | -7.5% |
| 2023-04-18 beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +0.5% | -2.8% | -3.2% | -0.6% | +14.9% |
| 2023-01-19 miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -75.2% | +6.7% | +8.5% | +5.3% | -1.5% |
| 2022-10-18 beat | 0.21 | 0.31 | +45.2% | +10.0% | +13.1% | +9.6% | +8.4% |
| 2022-07-19 beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +8.8% | +3.2% | +7.3% | +4.8% | +13.3% |
| 2022-04-19 beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +21.0% | -29.7% | -35.1% | -16.6% | -18.9% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +61.5% | -21.2% | -21.8% | -3.3% | -5.1% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 0.26 | 0.32 | +24.5% | -2.1% | -2.2% | +6.0% | +9.1% |
| 2021-07-20 miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -5.9% | -0.9% | -3.3% | +1.1% | +5.9% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 0.30 | 0.38 | +25.5% | -7.6% | -7.4% | -0.5% | -1.4% |
| 2021-01-19 miss | 0.14 | 0.12 | -15.1% | +12.7% | +16.9% | -10.8% | -7.9% |
| 2020-10-20 miss | 0.21 | 0.17 | -18.7% | -4.6% | -6.9% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2020-07-16 miss | 0.18 | 0.16 | -13.1% | -6.2% | -6.5% | -2.5% | -2.2% |
| 2020-04-21 miss | 0.16 | 0.16 | -4.0% | -0.9% | -2.9% | -2.3% | +3.5% |
| 2020-01-21 beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +147.9% | -1.6% | -3.6% | +5.3% | +16.6% |
| 2019-10-16 beat | 0.10 | 0.15 | +40.5% | +6.4% | +2.5% | -7.4% | +0.6% |
| 2019-07-17 beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +7.5% | -10.7% | -10.3% | +0.4% | -6.9% |
| 2019-04-16 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +32.3% | +1.6% | -1.3% | +3.8% | -0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.