NFLX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -2.4% | 14.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 3.6% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.3% | 2.9% | 47% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | -3.5% | 17.4% | 42% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 beat | 0.79 | 0.80 | +1.4% | -11.9% | -7.3% | +1.7% | +10.3% |
| 2026-04-16 miss | 1.32 | 1.23 | -6.9% | -10.6% | -9.7% | -5.0% | -7.9% |
| 2026-01-20 beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.4% | -5.4% | -2.2% | -0.8% | -7.8% |
| 2025-10-21 miss | 0.70 | 0.59 | -15.8% | -7.9% | -10.1% | -1.4% | -5.3% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.9% | -2.5% | -5.1% | -2.4% | +3.0% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 0.57 | 0.66 | +16.4% | +1.2% | +1.5% | +12.4% | +20.7% |
| 2025-01-21 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +1.8% | +14.8% | +9.7% | +2.5% | +5.2% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +5.3% | +7.3% | +11.1% | -1.2% | +10.9% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.5% | +2.7% | -1.5% | -0.3% | +8.7% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 0.45 | 0.53 | +16.7% | -7.0% | -9.1% | +1.1% | +15.5% |
| 2024-01-23 miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -4.8% | +9.3% | +10.7% | +3.5% | +7.1% |
| 2023-10-18 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +6.7% | +16.9% | +16.1% | +0.4% | +16.0% |
| 2023-07-19 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +15.4% | -6.4% | -8.4% | -5.5% | -7.5% |
| 2023-04-18 beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +0.5% | -2.8% | -3.2% | -0.6% | +14.9% |
| 2023-01-19 miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -75.2% | +6.7% | +8.5% | +5.3% | -1.5% |
| 2022-10-18 beat | 0.21 | 0.31 | +45.2% | +10.0% | +13.1% | +9.6% | +8.4% |
| 2022-07-19 beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +8.8% | +3.2% | +7.3% | +4.8% | +13.3% |
| 2022-04-19 beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +21.0% | -29.7% | -35.1% | -16.6% | -18.9% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +61.5% | -21.2% | -21.8% | -3.3% | -5.1% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 0.26 | 0.32 | +24.5% | -2.1% | -2.2% | +6.0% | +9.1% |
| 2021-07-20 miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -5.9% | -0.9% | -3.3% | +1.1% | +5.9% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 0.30 | 0.38 | +25.5% | -7.6% | -7.4% | -0.5% | -1.4% |
| 2021-01-19 miss | 0.14 | 0.12 | -15.1% | +12.7% | +16.9% | -10.8% | -7.9% |
| 2020-10-20 miss | 0.21 | 0.17 | -18.7% | -4.6% | -6.9% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2020-07-16 miss | 0.18 | 0.16 | -13.1% | -6.2% | -6.5% | -2.5% | -2.2% |
| 2020-04-21 miss | 0.16 | 0.16 | -4.0% | -0.9% | -2.9% | -2.3% | +3.5% |
| 2020-01-21 beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +147.9% | -1.6% | -3.6% | +5.3% | +16.6% |
| 2019-10-16 beat | 0.10 | 0.15 | +40.5% | +6.4% | +2.5% | -7.4% | +0.6% |
| 2019-07-17 beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +7.5% | -10.7% | -10.3% | +0.4% | -6.9% |
| 2019-04-16 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +32.3% | +1.6% | -1.3% | +3.8% | -0.1% |
| 2019-01-17 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +27.4% | -0.3% | -4.0% | -1.0% | +6.1% |
| 2018-10-16 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +31.4% | +9.2% | +5.3% | -17.2% | -20.5% |
| 2018-07-16 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +7.3% | -13.4% | -5.2% | -5.8% | -14.0% |
| 2018-04-16 beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +2.3% | +7.1% | +9.2% | -8.6% | -2.3% |
| 2018-01-22 miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -0.8% | +12.1% | +10.0% | +11.4% | +11.1% |
| 2017-10-16 miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -9.6% | -1.3% | -1.6% | -1.7% | -3.7% |
| 2017-07-17 miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -5.1% | +8.9% | +13.5% | +1.8% | -7.4% |
| 2017-04-17 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +7.7% | +0.1% | -2.6% | +6.1% | +6.9% |
| 2017-01-18 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +14.3% | +6.6% | +3.9% | +0.4% | +2.8% |
| 2016-10-17 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +117.8% | +16.9% | +19.0% | +6.5% | -3.0% |
| 2016-07-18 beat | — | 0.01 | +312.8% | -13.5% | -13.1% | +6.5% | +12.3% |
| 2016-04-18 beat | — | 0.01 | +100.0% | -8.2% | -13.0% | -2.0% | -4.1% |
| 2016-01-19 beat | — | 0.01 | +371.7% | +0.9% | -0.1% | -15.4% | -17.2% |
| 2015-10-14 miss | 0.01 | 0.01 | -6.9% | -5.9% | -8.3% | -3.7% | +2.5% |
| 2015-07-15 beat | — | 0.01 | +55.8% | +13.1% | +18.0% | -4.9% | +6.5% |
| 2015-04-15 miss | 0.01 | 0.01 | -39.3% | +11.9% | +18.2% | -0.5% | +9.1% |
| 2015-01-20 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +62.0% | +18.9% | +17.3% | +8.1% | +16.8% |
| 2014-10-15 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +4.6% | -25.8% | -19.4% | +5.9% | +6.7% |
| 2014-07-21 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +1.1% | -2.0% | -4.6% | -1.6% | +9.5% |
| 2014-04-21 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +5.3% | +8.1% | +7.0% | -14.2% | +4.7% |
| 2014-01-22 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +18.8% | +16.1% | +16.5% | +4.1% | +15.0% |
| 2013-10-21 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +4.5% | +9.3% | -9.2% | +1.5% | +5.3% |
| 2013-07-22 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +19.4% | -4.0% | -4.5% | -2.6% | +8.0% |
| 2013-04-22 beat | — | — | +54.4% | +23.6% | +24.4% | -0.4% | +5.3% |
| 2013-01-23 beat | — | — | +189.9% | +39.5% | +42.2% | +12.5% | +22.1% |
| 2012-10-23 beat | — | — | +232.1% | -15.2% | -11.9% | +27.9% | +38.2% |
| 2012-07-24 beat | — | — | +112.2% | -20.1% | -25.0% | -9.5% | +6.3% |
| 2012-04-23 beat | — | — | +69.7% | -15.1% | -13.9% | -7.3% | -18.0% |
| 2012-01-25 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +28.6% | +19.8% | +22.0% | +6.9% | -5.7% |
| 2011-10-24 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +24.7% | -37.0% | -34.9% | +3.5% | -11.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.