NGD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +5.1% | +4.7% | 8.4% | 67% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -0.4% | 4.7% | 44% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.3% | 2.3% | 33% |
| 5-day | +2.7% | +0.0% | 9.9% | 44% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 beat | 0.23 | 0.33 | +41.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-10-28 | 0.18 | 0.18 | — | +11.1% | +10.6% | -2.9% | +19.3% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +8.8% | -3.6% | -6.3% | +6.8% | +38.3% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 0.02 | -0.02 | -233.3% | -1.5% | +18.8% | +2.5% | +11.8% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +11.4% | -1.7% | +4.5% | -10.3% | +7.0% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +93.8% | +3.1% | -2.1% | -5.6% | -3.5% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +15.5% | +2.9% | +12.1% | -11.3% | +7.8% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | — | 0.02 | +792.9% | +3.4% | +8.6% | -1.1% | +15.9% |
| 2024-02-13 miss | 0.02 | -0.01 | -150.0% | +0.0% | -5.0% | -3.5% | +49.1% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +31.2% | -0.9% | +4.7% | +5.4% | +24.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.