NGD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.7% | -2.1% | 9.9% | 31% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.8% | 4.7% | 34% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +0.7% | 4.3% | 52% |
| 5-day | -2.5% | -1.8% | 13.0% | 34% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 beat | 0.23 | 0.33 | +41.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-10-28 | 0.18 | 0.18 | — | +11.1% | +10.6% | -2.9% | +19.3% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +8.8% | -3.6% | -6.3% | +6.8% | +38.3% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 0.02 | -0.02 | -233.3% | -1.5% | +18.8% | +2.5% | +11.8% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +11.4% | -1.7% | +4.5% | -10.3% | +7.0% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +93.8% | +3.1% | -2.1% | -5.6% | -3.5% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +15.5% | +2.9% | +12.1% | -11.3% | +7.8% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | — | 0.02 | +792.9% | +3.4% | +8.6% | -1.1% | +15.9% |
| 2024-02-13 miss | 0.02 | -0.01 | -150.0% | +0.0% | -5.0% | -3.5% | +49.1% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +31.2% | -0.9% | +4.7% | +5.4% | +24.1% |
| 2023-07-26 miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -8.5% | -0.8% | -12.1% | -2.8% | -7.3% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +51.6% | +3.9% | +0.0% | +7.8% | -10.9% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | — | -0.01 | -4645.4% | -3.1% | -2.0% | -8.3% | -2.1% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -72.1% | -2.3% | -2.3% | +29.4% | +35.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.02 | -0.02 | +15.0% | +2.6% | +6.6% | -2.5% | -18.5% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -0.9% | -5.9% | -10.7% | +3.0% | +10.8% |
| 2021-11-12 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +69.0% | -1.9% | +10.6% | -10.7% | -23.6% |
| 2021-08-11 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +9.6% | -1.4% | -9.0% | -16.8% | -7.6% |
| 2021-02-17 beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +76.4% | +0.0% | -5.5% | +6.5% | +15.6% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | -0.01 | 0.02 | +340.1% | +3.0% | -1.5% | -4.6% | +8.1% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | -0.03 | — | +100.0% | -4.8% | -4.2% | +2.5% | +1.3% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | -0.03 | -0.03 | -8.5% | -1.2% | -1.2% | +4.7% | +42.4% |
| 2020-02-13 miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -19.8% | -1.2% | -10.6% | +11.8% | -34.2% |
| 2019-11-06 miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -199.8% | -1.9% | -11.4% | -6.5% | -9.7% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +30.8% | -6.7% | -2.2% | -0.8% | -14.5% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | -1.1% | +0.0% | -6.8% | -25.0% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | -0.01 | 0.04 | +540.0% | -8.1% | -25.8% | -3.3% | -7.6% |
| 2018-10-24 beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +70.3% | +0.0% | +11.4% | +2.6% | +6.4% |
| 2018-07-25 miss | 0.01 | — | -100.0% | -19.9% | -19.9% | -12.4% | -28.3% |
| 2018-04-25 miss | 0.01 | -0.03 | -410.6% | -8.4% | -6.8% | +4.7% | +1.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.