NHI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | +0.2% | 2.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +0.4% | 1.7% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 1.0% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +1.1% | 2.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 miss | 4.57 | 1.15 | -74.8% | -1.6% | -5.7% | +4.7% | +0.4% |
| 2026-05-04 miss | 0.86 | 0.77 | -10.5% | -2.5% | -3.5% | +1.8% | -6.5% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 0.80 | 0.76 | -5.2% | +0.4% | -4.1% | +0.7% | -2.0% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.60 | 0.69 | +14.0% | +1.4% | +2.0% | +0.5% | +2.0% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.75 | 0.79 | +4.5% | +2.6% | +2.5% | -0.4% | +5.3% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +5.1% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -2.3% | -6.5% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.2% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +3.1% | +3.7% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 0.70 | 0.65 | -6.8% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +1.9% | -1.5% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.71 | 0.80 | +13.0% | +1.1% | +0.4% | -0.1% | +10.3% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +2.6% | +0.5% | +2.2% | +1.7% | +1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.