NHI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +0.3% | 4.0% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.4% | 1.9% | 65% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.4% | 1.1% | 65% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +2.2% | 4.7% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 miss | 4.57 | 1.15 | -74.8% | -1.6% | -5.7% | +4.7% | +0.4% |
| 2026-05-04 miss | 0.86 | 0.77 | -10.5% | -2.5% | -3.5% | +1.8% | -6.5% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 0.80 | 0.76 | -5.2% | +0.4% | -4.1% | +0.7% | -2.0% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.60 | 0.69 | +14.0% | +1.4% | +2.0% | +0.5% | +2.0% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.75 | 0.79 | +4.5% | +2.6% | +2.5% | -0.4% | +5.3% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +5.1% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -2.3% | -6.5% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.2% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +3.1% | +3.7% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 0.70 | 0.65 | -6.8% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +1.9% | -1.5% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.71 | 0.80 | +13.0% | +1.1% | +0.4% | -0.1% | +10.3% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +2.6% | +0.5% | +2.2% | +1.7% | +1.8% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +6.2% | +0.5% | +6.6% | +3.0% | +9.3% |
| 2023-11-07 miss | 0.72 | 0.68 | -5.6% | -0.3% | +2.2% | +3.7% | +6.9% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.69 | 0.92 | +33.3% | -0.9% | -6.4% | -1.8% | -1.8% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.65 | 0.79 | +21.5% | +2.0% | +8.2% | +0.1% | -1.0% |
| 2023-02-21 miss | 0.69 | 0.05 | -92.8% | -2.7% | -6.7% | -0.3% | -10.5% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.3% | +1.1% | +0.3% | -2.5% | +3.9% |
| 2022-08-08 miss | 0.80 | 0.47 | -41.2% | +0.4% | +1.3% | +1.3% | +1.2% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 0.74 | 0.66 | -11.1% | +0.0% | -3.2% | +10.1% | +18.8% |
| 2022-02-22 miss | 0.74 | 0.67 | -9.1% | +0.7% | -1.3% | +3.8% | +10.0% |
| 2021-11-08 miss | 0.75 | 0.72 | -3.8% | -1.1% | +3.4% | +1.0% | -1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.