NIO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +0.2% | 7.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -1.4% | -2.2% | 4.1% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.4% | 4.1% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.9% | -3.5% | 15.6% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 beat | -0.14 | 0.01 | +107.1% | -3.5% | -4.0% | -8.9% | — |
| 2026-05-21 beat | -0.34 | 0.02 | +105.9% | +5.9% | +0.2% | +0.0% | -9.1% |
| 2026-03-10 beat | 0.05 | 0.29 | +441.4% | +6.5% | +15.4% | +4.6% | +6.5% |
| 2025-11-25 beat | -1.57 | -1.14 | +27.4% | -2.8% | -4.3% | -12.9% | -7.3% |
| 2025-09-02 beat | -2.20 | -1.85 | +15.7% | -2.2% | +3.1% | -4.6% | +16.3% |
| 2025-06-03 miss | -2.66 | -3.01 | -13.2% | -3.4% | +0.3% | +7.9% | -0.6% |
| 2025-03-21 miss | -2.36 | -3.17 | -34.4% | -4.9% | -4.5% | -16.7% | -16.7% |
| 2024-11-20 beat | -2.19 | -2.14 | +2.1% | -4.8% | +0.4% | -5.8% | -2.4% |
| 2024-09-05 miss | -2.20 | -2.21 | -0.5% | +4.0% | +14.4% | +8.9% | +39.6% |
| 2024-06-06 beat | -2.82 | -2.39 | +15.2% | -6.1% | -6.8% | -10.2% | -8.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.