NIO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -2.7% | 13.2% | 42% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | -0.7% | 5.7% | 48% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | +0.0% | 5.1% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -2.2% | 20.2% | 39% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 beat | -0.14 | 0.01 | +107.1% | -3.5% | -4.0% | -8.9% | — |
| 2026-05-21 beat | -0.34 | 0.02 | +105.9% | +5.9% | +0.2% | +0.0% | -9.1% |
| 2026-03-10 beat | 0.05 | 0.29 | +441.4% | +6.5% | +15.4% | +4.6% | +6.5% |
| 2025-11-25 beat | -1.57 | -1.14 | +27.4% | -2.8% | -4.3% | -12.9% | -7.3% |
| 2025-09-02 beat | -2.20 | -1.85 | +15.7% | -2.2% | +3.1% | -4.6% | +16.3% |
| 2025-06-03 miss | -2.66 | -3.01 | -13.2% | -3.4% | +0.3% | +7.9% | -0.6% |
| 2025-03-21 miss | -2.36 | -3.17 | -34.4% | -4.9% | -4.5% | -16.7% | -16.7% |
| 2024-11-20 beat | -2.19 | -2.14 | +2.1% | -4.8% | +0.4% | -5.8% | -2.4% |
| 2024-09-05 miss | -2.20 | -2.21 | -0.5% | +4.0% | +14.4% | +8.9% | +39.6% |
| 2024-06-06 beat | -2.82 | -2.39 | +15.2% | -6.1% | -6.8% | -10.2% | -8.4% |
| 2024-03-05 miss | -2.29 | -2.81 | -22.9% | -3.0% | +2.8% | +13.0% | -17.9% |
| 2023-12-05 beat | -2.66 | -2.28 | +14.2% | +3.7% | +1.5% | -2.2% | +8.5% |
| 2023-08-29 miss | -2.96 | -3.28 | -10.7% | -6.5% | -1.2% | -2.8% | -18.2% |
| 2023-06-09 beat | -2.90 | -2.51 | +13.4% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +21.6% | +44.4% |
| 2023-03-01 miss | -1.60 | -3.07 | -91.6% | -0.5% | -6.0% | +4.0% | +18.5% |
| 2022-11-10 miss | -1.18 | -1.34 | -13.2% | +11.4% | +11.8% | +3.2% | +20.8% |
| 2022-09-07 miss | -1.22 | -1.34 | -10.0% | -3.3% | +2.2% | +25.5% | -15.5% |
| 2022-06-09 beat | -1.06 | -0.79 | +25.6% | -8.1% | -7.7% | +1.9% | +10.9% |
| 2022-03-24 miss | -0.87 | -1.07 | -22.8% | -7.6% | -9.4% | +10.1% | -17.8% |
| 2021-11-09 miss | -0.30 | -0.36 | -20.0% | +0.6% | -2.7% | +0.3% | -13.4% |
| 2021-08-11 beat | -0.55 | -0.21 | +62.0% | +0.9% | -3.4% | -14.6% | -9.6% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | -0.81 | -0.23 | +71.7% | -3.2% | +2.2% | -7.3% | +6.3% |
| 2021-03-01 miss | -0.43 | -0.93 | -116.3% | -7.3% | -13.0% | -4.5% | -10.0% |
| 2020-11-17 beat | -1.08 | -0.82 | +24.1% | -1.8% | -3.3% | +19.2% | +3.7% |
| 2020-08-11 beat | -1.90 | -1.08 | +43.2% | +7.7% | -8.6% | +10.1% | +36.6% |
| 2020-05-28 beat | -2.29 | -1.60 | +30.1% | -4.6% | -8.2% | +55.9% | +80.2% |
| 2020-03-18 miss | -1.89 | -2.73 | -44.4% | -17.2% | -16.2% | +13.6% | +32.1% |
| 2019-12-30 beat | -2.44 | -2.38 | +2.3% | +20.7% | +53.7% | -12.9% | +9.7% |
| 2019-09-24 miss | -1.29 | -3.11 | -141.1% | -18.4% | -20.2% | -39.2% | -29.5% |
| 2019-05-28 beat | -3.36 | -2.42 | +28.0% | +6.7% | +3.6% | -24.0% | -36.3% |
| 2019-03-05 miss | -2.16 | -3.37 | -56.0% | -18.7% | -21.2% | -18.5% | -33.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.