NOV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | -1.2% | 6.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.6% | 3.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 2.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | -1.8% | 6.1% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 0.16 | 0.31 | +93.6% | +6.0% | -3.8% | +2.3% | +8.9% |
| 2026-04-27 miss | 0.15 | 0.11 | -25.8% | -3.8% | -2.5% | -0.8% | -0.1% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 0.25 | -0.52 | -310.5% | -2.7% | -5.9% | +4.2% | +3.9% |
| 2025-10-27 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -4.1% | +5.0% | +7.2% | -1.3% | +0.9% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +16.1% | -6.6% | -8.0% | -6.1% | +0.6% |
| 2025-04-28 miss | 0.25 | 0.19 | -25.4% | +5.2% | -2.0% | -0.9% | +2.3% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +15.4% | +11.0% | +12.7% | -2.7% | -8.9% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 0.37 | 0.33 | -10.8% | +4.5% | +3.0% | -3.5% | +3.4% |
| 2024-07-25 miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -5.1% | +10.8% | +6.3% | -5.8% | -9.3% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -10.6% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -1.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.