NOV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -1.9% | 7.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +1.2% | 4.0% | 67% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -0.8% | 2.5% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | -0.1% | 7.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 0.16 | 0.31 | +93.6% | +6.0% | -3.8% | +2.3% | +8.9% |
| 2026-04-27 miss | 0.15 | 0.11 | -25.8% | -3.8% | -2.5% | -0.8% | -0.1% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 0.25 | -0.52 | -310.5% | -2.7% | -5.9% | +4.2% | +3.9% |
| 2025-10-27 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -4.1% | +5.0% | +7.2% | -1.3% | +0.9% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +16.1% | -6.6% | -8.0% | -6.1% | +0.6% |
| 2025-04-28 miss | 0.25 | 0.19 | -25.4% | +5.2% | -2.0% | -0.9% | +2.3% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +15.4% | +11.0% | +12.7% | -2.7% | -8.9% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 0.37 | 0.33 | -10.8% | +4.5% | +3.0% | -3.5% | +3.4% |
| 2024-07-25 miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -5.1% | +10.8% | +6.3% | -5.8% | -9.3% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -10.6% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -1.7% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 0.40 | 1.60 | +296.0% | -0.1% | -11.2% | -2.4% | -3.6% |
| 2023-10-26 miss | 0.36 | 0.29 | -18.4% | -2.2% | +2.6% | +3.8% | -3.7% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +2.0% | +3.8% | -1.7% | +9.4% | +8.6% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -9.8% | -7.4% | -8.1% | -7.3% | -9.1% |
| 2023-02-06 miss | 0.24 | 0.19 | -21.1% | +2.1% | -0.4% | +1.2% | -9.5% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 0.17 | 0.08 | -52.8% | -0.7% | -4.6% | +7.6% | +2.6% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.05 | 0.16 | +226.7% | +1.3% | +7.9% | +2.3% | +10.3% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | -0.06 | — | +100.0% | +4.2% | -2.6% | +4.7% | +10.3% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | -0.03 | -0.08 | -149.6% | -7.0% | -8.2% | +6.4% | +35.5% |
| 2021-10-26 miss | -0.09 | -0.12 | -33.6% | -0.3% | +0.3% | -0.6% | -14.7% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | -0.12 | -0.03 | +76.8% | +0.6% | -2.1% | -6.2% | -5.2% |
| 2021-04-27 miss | -0.23 | -0.28 | -20.2% | +0.5% | +9.6% | +10.2% | +9.1% |
| 2021-02-04 miss | -0.12 | -0.29 | -141.6% | +1.9% | -3.0% | +4.3% | +20.6% |
| 2020-10-26 beat | -0.10 | 0.02 | +117.4% | +1.9% | -3.8% | +5.6% | +58.3% |
| 2020-07-27 beat | -0.14 | -0.06 | +56.2% | -4.3% | -11.0% | +1.6% | +3.0% |
| 2020-04-27 beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +35.2% | +0.3% | -4.7% | +4.6% | +9.9% |
| 2020-02-06 miss | 0.15 | -1.01 | -790.5% | +8.3% | +10.5% | -5.3% | -50.0% |
| 2019-10-28 beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +53.3% | +6.9% | +13.7% | +1.3% | -4.4% |
| 2019-07-29 beat | -0.06 | 0.02 | +125.1% | +1.4% | +11.3% | -7.4% | -16.7% |
| 2019-04-25 miss | -0.11 | -0.20 | -84.2% | -1.9% | +3.6% | -7.3% | -20.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.