NTLA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | +0.6% | 8.2% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -2.5% | 4.5% | 35% |
| Day 3 | +1.4% | +1.9% | 4.9% | 75% |
| 5-day | -2.0% | -3.0% | 12.2% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.78 | -0.80 | -1.9% | -3.0% | +2.5% | +5.2% | +13.3% |
| 2026-05-11 beat | -0.90 | -0.81 | +9.8% | -0.2% | +2.3% | -12.0% | -15.4% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | -0.96 | -0.83 | +13.7% | +5.0% | +6.4% | -7.9% | -13.4% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | -0.98 | -0.92 | +6.6% | -25.8% | -22.7% | -8.6% | -2.3% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | -1.01 | -0.98 | +2.5% | +1.3% | +0.8% | -4.9% | +3.3% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | -1.27 | -1.10 | +13.5% | +8.0% | +13.6% | -2.5% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | -1.32 | -1.27 | +3.5% | +4.6% | +0.6% | -8.8% | -25.7% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | -1.37 | -1.34 | +2.1% | +0.9% | -0.4% | -5.5% | -8.6% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | -1.20 | -1.52 | -27.0% | +3.6% | +5.0% | +2.2% | -11.4% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -1.36 | -1.12 | +17.7% | +5.6% | +8.1% | +5.3% | -6.4% |
| 2024-02-22 miss | -1.44 | -1.46 | -1.7% | -1.4% | +1.1% | +18.2% | -1.0% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | -1.50 | -1.38 | +8.2% | +0.2% | -12.3% | +4.2% | +13.6% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -1.33 | -1.40 | -5.4% | -3.5% | -1.6% | +1.2% | -3.6% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -1.38 | -1.17 | +15.3% | +1.2% | +0.6% | -1.3% | -0.6% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | -1.37 | -1.38 | -0.4% | -3.0% | -3.2% | +15.0% | -1.6% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -1.25 | -1.49 | -18.9% | +3.1% | -1.3% | +7.9% | -23.5% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | -1.30 | -1.33 | -2.4% | -13.7% | -8.7% | +0.3% | -14.4% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | -1.11 | -1.96 | -76.4% | -5.1% | -10.2% | -14.9% | -9.7% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | -0.94 | -1.09 | -16.3% | -2.5% | +9.3% | -18.9% | -19.2% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | -0.85 | -0.97 | -14.1% | -0.7% | -1.4% | -2.6% | -24.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.