NTLA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | +0.6% | 7.5% | 52% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -1.6% | 6.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +1.2% | +1.6% | 6.1% | 62% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | +0.2% | 12.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.78 | -0.80 | -1.9% | -3.0% | +2.5% | +5.2% | +13.3% |
| 2026-05-11 beat | -0.90 | -0.81 | +9.8% | -0.2% | +2.3% | -12.0% | -15.4% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | -0.96 | -0.83 | +13.7% | +5.0% | +6.4% | -7.9% | -13.4% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | -0.98 | -0.92 | +6.6% | -25.8% | -22.7% | -8.6% | -2.3% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | -1.01 | -0.98 | +2.5% | +1.3% | +0.8% | -4.9% | +3.3% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | -1.27 | -1.10 | +13.5% | +8.0% | +13.6% | -2.5% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | -1.32 | -1.27 | +3.5% | +4.6% | +0.6% | -8.8% | -25.7% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | -1.37 | -1.34 | +2.1% | +0.9% | -0.4% | -5.5% | -8.6% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | -1.20 | -1.52 | -27.0% | +3.6% | +5.0% | +2.2% | -11.4% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -1.36 | -1.12 | +17.7% | +5.6% | +8.1% | +5.3% | -6.4% |
| 2024-02-22 miss | -1.44 | -1.46 | -1.7% | -1.4% | +1.1% | +18.2% | -1.0% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | -1.50 | -1.38 | +8.2% | +0.2% | -12.3% | +4.2% | +13.6% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -1.33 | -1.40 | -5.4% | -3.5% | -1.6% | +1.2% | -3.6% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -1.38 | -1.17 | +15.3% | +1.2% | +0.6% | -1.3% | -0.6% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | -1.37 | -1.38 | -0.4% | -3.0% | -3.2% | +15.0% | -1.6% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -1.25 | -1.49 | -18.9% | +3.1% | -1.3% | +7.9% | -23.5% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | -1.30 | -1.33 | -2.4% | -13.7% | -8.7% | +0.3% | -14.4% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | -1.11 | -1.96 | -76.4% | -5.1% | -10.2% | -14.9% | -9.7% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | -0.94 | -1.09 | -16.3% | -2.5% | +9.3% | -18.9% | -19.2% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | -0.85 | -0.97 | -14.1% | -0.7% | -1.4% | -2.6% | -24.8% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | -0.61 | -1.01 | -66.0% | -2.5% | +12.4% | -3.0% | +7.0% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | -0.66 | -0.69 | -4.7% | +6.1% | +1.9% | -1.0% | +16.6% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | -0.61 | -0.69 | -12.8% | -2.6% | -9.8% | -5.3% | +12.6% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | -0.57 | -0.47 | +17.1% | +4.0% | +4.8% | +4.3% | +63.6% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | -0.67 | -0.61 | +9.5% | +5.3% | +1.7% | +2.6% | -9.4% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | -0.47 | -0.63 | -33.1% | -3.8% | -1.4% | +19.8% | +46.5% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | -0.56 | -0.57 | -2.2% | -2.4% | -5.6% | +31.8% | +2.7% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | -0.61 | -0.49 | +19.6% | +10.5% | +6.1% | +3.6% | +36.8% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | -0.59 | -0.56 | +5.0% | +5.0% | -0.1% | -2.4% | -21.6% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | -0.57 | -0.49 | +13.8% | +4.1% | +2.5% | +9.0% | -3.8% |
| 2019-02-27 beat | -0.54 | -0.43 | +20.8% | +0.6% | +6.3% | +0.7% | +7.5% |
| 2018-10-31 miss | -0.49 | -0.53 | -8.5% | -0.1% | -8.3% | +14.2% | +5.5% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | -0.56 | -0.52 | +7.5% | -0.6% | -3.2% | +4.5% | +20.9% |
| 2018-05-01 beat | -0.56 | -0.51 | +8.6% | +2.8% | +2.7% | +8.2% | +31.8% |
| 2018-03-14 miss | -0.45 | -0.61 | -36.8% | -2.0% | -13.3% | -18.6% | -23.8% |
| 2017-10-31 beat | -0.49 | -0.44 | +11.1% | +0.6% | +8.9% | -37.4% | -27.6% |
| 2017-08-01 miss | -0.42 | -0.45 | -8.0% | -0.5% | -4.3% | +3.1% | +23.3% |
| 2017-05-02 miss | -0.35 | -0.36 | -2.9% | +0.5% | -5.0% | -4.2% | -16.0% |
| 2017-03-14 miss | -0.21 | -0.31 | -46.9% | -0.8% | -4.9% | -4.0% | -0.8% |
| 2016-11-01 miss | -0.21 | -0.22 | -6.3% | +0.1% | -4.4% | +10.9% | +22.2% |
| 2016-08-04 miss | -0.02 | -0.19 | -850.0% | +8.0% | +14.3% | -9.2% | -2.1% |
| 2016-06-03 beat | -0.19 | -0.19 | +3.9% | +3.1% | +1.6% | -9.1% | -34.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.