NTRS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | -2.4% | 6.3% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 1.4% | 65% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -0.7% | 6.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 miss | 4.62 | 4.23 | -8.3% | -2.0% | -3.5% | -0.6% | +2.2% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 2.33 | 2.71 | +16.1% | +1.9% | +8.0% | -2.8% | -3.4% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 2.37 | 2.42 | +2.0% | +3.9% | +6.0% | -1.6% | -8.3% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 2.24 | 2.29 | +2.2% | -3.1% | -2.4% | +1.4% | +0.2% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 2.04 | 2.13 | +4.2% | -4.4% | -1.8% | +5.9% | +2.5% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 1.84 | 1.90 | +3.1% | +6.6% | +3.0% | +5.2% | +17.9% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 2.00 | 2.26 | +12.8% | -0.9% | +2.0% | +2.9% | +3.0% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 1.93 | 2.22 | +15.1% | +5.4% | +7.0% | -1.0% | +6.3% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 1.73 | 4.34 | +151.0% | +1.4% | -5.1% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
| 2024-04-16 miss | 1.06 | 0.96 | -9.8% | -3.5% | -5.0% | +5.8% | +8.7% |
| 2024-01-18 miss | 0.91 | 0.52 | -42.9% | +2.5% | -2.4% | +1.1% | -1.2% |
| 2023-10-18 miss | 1.49 | 1.49 | -0.2% | -2.1% | -6.6% | -4.4% | +13.2% |
| 2023-07-19 miss | 1.61 | 1.56 | -3.2% | +6.8% | +13.4% | -1.8% | -5.3% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.51 | 1.51 | +0.1% | -2.5% | -9.3% | -4.5% | -8.7% |
| 2023-01-19 miss | 1.79 | 0.71 | -60.4% | -3.8% | -8.6% | +7.2% | +6.9% |
| 2022-10-19 miss | 1.85 | 1.80 | -2.5% | -10.8% | -9.2% | +3.2% | +14.2% |
| 2022-07-20 miss | 1.93 | 1.86 | -3.4% | -2.1% | -4.0% | -0.2% | +5.7% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.64 | 1.77 | +7.9% | +0.0% | +2.1% | -2.3% | -0.3% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 1.81 | 1.91 | +5.6% | -0.2% | -4.6% | -4.4% | -1.2% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 1.68 | 1.80 | +7.4% | +2.1% | +3.4% | -3.5% | -3.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.